Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Friday, 1 July 2016

7:05 Carlisle Winning Racing Tips (2nd July) CLEANEVENT GROUP HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

(FREEBIE) Only seven runners, two of them three-year-olds but only one known front runner, Native Falls is my third top rated and at five furlongs I've noted that it either finds this trip too short or it's a potentially hidden danger but for the time being and till its proved otherwise I'm going with it not being so competitive at the minimum distance, TOM SAWYER 11/1 is my second top rated and the only known front running type in the race but the trainer of this horse also has Burtonwood entered and this one looks to like a longer trip so the former might be entered to make sure the stamina of her other entry is utilised but if they are both run on their merits Burtonwood shouldn't catch Tom Sawyer and maybe she's entered them both to get a better price on what looks like the weaker of her two entries but then again the jockey booking could be to make you think of it the other way round, I'm not privy to any inside information but I will always stick with the proven, saying all that my top rated is LADY WOOTTON 4/1 who ran a fast time at Hamilton when finishing second but seven lengths behind the winner that day, after its run the next time out it either ran too badly to be true or the earlier time was a fluke time and a one-off and it is still a maiden after twelve runs which doesn't boost any confidence but the jockey who rode it when it set its best time is back in the saddle, this time, I think the winner will come from either Julia Camancho's stable or my top rated and I will stick with the proven and back my top two ratings but only to smallish stakes.