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Tuesday, 20 September 2016

3:20 Redcar Winning Racing Tips (21st Sept) WEATHERBYS "WE´VE GOT PEDIGREE" HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

Mark Usher, horse trainer
This is a very competitive race with 18 runners, 5 of which I can discount and there's also 5 that have been known to lead before, any bias here is in favour of those drawn low and that's where my selections are all drawn, the 3-year-old Adalusite is 4th top and from stall 11 and likes to race near the front, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses with ANNIE SALTS 16/1 another 3year old and from stall 7 this is one of the possible front runners along with CAPTAIN DUNNE 16/1 from stall 5 but I've got RUBY'S DAY 18/1 rated just above them and this one can race prominently or be held up and it's drawn in stall 2 so will be hopefully on the favoured side and could be the one to prosper if others falter but I will be splitting my stakes in this race between the 3 of them and doing them each all each way and if any of them make the 1st 4 places would at least see me break even.

This 12 runner race looks a little bit tricky and I've only got Panther Patrol down as a pace setter type but its not in my top six ratings, Upavon is 5th top but may need further to show its best, Racquet is 4th top from a time recorded at Salisbury last year but has been about 10 pounds below its best so far this year, 3rd top is the bottom weight DIVINE CALL 20/1 but is being ridden by a 3pound claiming apprentice which would move it to top spot but the apprentice hasn't ridden a winner before for this stable but has only had 3 rides for them I've got joint top ratings with KINGLAMI 11/1 who normally races prominently but does seem to need good to firm ground to show its best which also applies to STRAITS OF MALACCA 10/1 but this ones trainer, Simon Dow, has had 21 runners at this course without a winner which puts me off a little but then he's employed Luke Morris to ride which makes no sense if it's a non-trier so I can't split the 3 of them but will split my stake between them and do them all each-way hope I've captured the winner or at least do enough to show a profit.
As usual with these apprentice races I always err on the side of caution and keep stakes on the low side, of this 11 I've got 3 marked down as known pace setters, Keep It Dark who might not want firm going, Fashionable Spirit who could be hidden danger as all runs so far this year have been over 6 furlongs and Stormflower who only comes out 6th best. Go Nani Go is my 3rd top rated and can be ridden prominently or be held up which also applies to my 2nd top rated the topweight TAAJUB while in top place I've got HEAD SPACE 7/1 from a time recorded last year at Doncaster but this year's figures have been quite a way off that level, so I will go with backing both of these to cover things just in case the selection bursts back to form here.
Twenty runners in this poor class 6 race but only 2 known front-runners, Mustn't Grumble who could be a bit of a hidden danger especially if it gets an uncontested lead and it is drawn quite well in stall 13, the other front running type is TAKE CHARGE 16/1 who is only a 3-year-old so could still have some improvement to come and its only 2 pounds off the top spot, second top is Harbour Patrol who looks like it might do even better when tried over a longer trip so should be staying on at the finish, GOADBY 25/1 is well weighted and comes out in top spot and this horse is a bit of an enigma and is capable of springing back to form without prior warning it usually races prominently so I have to go with backing them both each way and hope that whichever one does its best shows a nice profit but I won't be going in too heavily.
A strange race with a few unknowns and which tempers any confidence so stakes will be kept low and only bet if the price offers some value, there's only two known front-runners in Swendab my fifth top rated and Whaleweigh Station who is third top so I hope it's a decent early pace but the latter may get its own way up front and then be an even bigger threat with the only negative being its stall eleven draw but if nothing else wants to lead that soon negates that problem, Oat Couture is my second top rated but this will be its fifteenth race and it's still a maiden which doesn't fill me with confidence with this horse but it has managed three second places so could at least make the frame in this race but top spot is the top weighted OCEAN LEGEND 12/1 who usually likes to race prominently and has got the coveted stall one draw and if this one can get a good position from which to attack late on in the race and stay on the stronger and a big enough price to back each way.

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