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Wednesday, 21 September 2016

3:30 Pontefract Winning Racing Tips (22nd Sept) RACING UK HD ON SKY432 HANDICAP (Div I) (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-85)

Eric Winner, Sprint Analysis
Division 1 of this race 13 runners and 3 of them have been known to lead before, 5 I've got negatives about, the topweight Lincoln cannot be dismissed from my ideas of the winner as it has been running in much better class races but over a longer trip then last time out it was dropped to 5 furlongs in this class of race but it was on softish going so that may have helped its cause with a slower early pace but it's made it hard to know exactly what it will do over this extra furlong. Cosmic Chatter my 4th top rated is a possible pacesetter in stall 1, Regal Dan usually races prominently and is my 3rd top rated, then Ace Master is in 2nd spot and another that might try to lead, so it looks like being a fast run race which has been known to suit YEEOOW 11/1 before and this one is top rated and hopefully the price will be some value and with a few unknowns stakes have to be kept on the low side but I will be having a small each way bet at the price.
With 3 possible pace setters in this field of 9 it will hopefully be a fast early pace, I've got 2 with negatives and 2 which I couldn't back or lay, the top 2 in the handicap are my joint 4th top rated and 2 of the known front-runners, Rose Eclair comes out 3rd best and like all of my top 3 it likes to race prominently, 2nd top is Burning Thread but top spot goes to ROYAL BRAVE 5/1 who has been running quite well without winning lately making the frame and this looks a good opportunity for it to get back to the winners enclosure and the jockey booking points to them expecting a big run from it but the trainer hasn't had a winner at this course from 14 previous attempts in the last 5 years which tempers my enthusiasm a little but hopefully it will do the business, this time, out but my stakes will be kept low.
There is one obvious danger at the bottom of the handicap and I have to admit I've no idea how good or bad the horse will turn out to be but it is one of only 2 that have been known to lead so it will mean any stakes will be kept low, then I've got 3 with negatives against their names and will be laid if short enough in price, Highly Sprung, is the other possible pace setters its 4th top on my figures, 3rd spot goes to Vallarta who has been running quite well lately only being out of the frame once in its last 8 runs and there's a win amongst them, I've got Harwoods Volante down as 2nd top and it usually races close to the front, my top rated is CANYARI 20/1 who admittedly hasn't been running very well this year but has been known to spring back to life without warning, it may need good to firm ground to show its best and hasn't had that only once so far this year also I don't think this trainer would keep the horse if he thought it couldn't win a race and I'm hoping that today's the day and the price give some decent value for money so we can have a small each-way wager.
This looks a nice race with 12 runners and 3 of them having been known to lead before, I've got Malaysian Boleh and Jameerah marked down as negatives, the front runners are Pink Martini stall 5 who hasn't run here but an ok time at Lingfield (the same surface), Monumental Man stall 8 who is 5th top rated and Krystallite stall 12 who is 4th top, Eternity's Gate stall 9 is 3rd top and usually races prominently, Sir Domino stall 3 is 2nd top but this one believes it or not may do better on a slower surface like Southwell's, top spot is the three year old VERNE CASTLE 7/2 who broke its duck 2 runs ago over course and distance and followed that with a repeat performance and actually improved its time by about 2 lengths but they were in class 5 races and it merits this opportunity at this slightly higher level, its another that likes to race close to the pace but stall 11 isn't ideal so stakes have to be kept on the lowish side of things and at the price I don't really think its big enough for the risk from its high draw.

Verne Castle 6/1 1st

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