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Monday, 12 September 2016

3:30 Thirsk Winning Racing Tips (13th Sept) THIRSK RACECOURSE PERFECT FOR OUTDOOR EVENTS HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

A strange race for a class three affair with only See The Sun known as a front-running type so could be dangerous if getting an uncontested lead, Money Team and the three year old Udontdoyou could be slightly hidden dangers, Zanetto who usually races prominently is my third top rated, second top Foxtrot Knight is capable of a good time at this distance when things go its way but always looks like this sometimes stretches its stamina but top spot is HARWOOD'S VOLANTE 14/1 who has shown it's in good form by finishing second in its last two runs and can hopefully go one better in this race but the price allows me to go with an each-way wager.
Only four runners and I've got BACCARAT 11/10 well clear on my speed figures and its joint top rated by the official handicapper but there is the three-year-old Steady Pace from the all powerful Godolphin stables so could be an improver but I will stick with the proven, Outback Traveller could be dangerous if the goings on the soft side but obviously then I won't be betting but any stakes I do have will be kept low and also depends on the prices available.
A poor class six race with twenty runners but I can find negatives against most of them and if you're looking for consistency then they all have a negative, I've got four marked down as possible pace setters and that captures my third top and top ratings the other two possibles are drawn in stalls thirteen and sixteen, Cruise Tothelimit is that third top rated and its well drawn in stall eighteen but may not want the going to be on the firm side of things,second top is Jebel Tara who ought to be staying on at the finish and the most likely one to prosper if they go off too fast at the front of the race, top spot is JACOB'S PILLOW 11/2 who ran well last time out when finishing second and the first time for a while where it tried to lead all the way and this one also may not want the going to be too firm and the jockey booking, Daniel Tudhope, points to the stable expecting a big run from the horse but I would be even more confident if it was drawn higher as stall four doesn't look ideal on paper but it could be capable of getting out and crossing to where the action is and if not lead at least get a prominent early position and if getting to the front ought to be quite hard to catch.
Fourteen runners—2 definite lays Baileys Mirage + Upavon (if 10/1 or under) five possible front runners, Foxy Forever, Bondi Beach Boy, and Diamond Lady are not in my top four, Bahamian Heights is fifth top but its three pound taken off for the apprentice jockey moves it to joing third top, Emjayem is fourth top and usually races prominently same as Silvanus my third top rated, Outrage is my second top rated and the fifth possible front-runner and could be the one to catch but top spot is JUST US TWO 9/1 who may need proper good to firm ground to show its best and can be raced prominently or be held up and has got a very good jockey riding in Frankie Dettori and I'm hoping that's a pointer in itself.
This looks good for a class five affair, three possible front runners but none in my top four so it should be a decent early pace but not stupidly fast, Kenny The Captain who won when tipped up last time out is only joint third best in this race alongside Groundworker and quite a few spots behind the top two, theres only one pound between PORTLAND STREET 4/1 who can race prominently or be held up and YOSEMITE 7/1 who does like to track the leaders, they are both three year olds so could have some more improvement within them so I will go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one wins.

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