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Friday, 7 October 2016

1:45 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (8th Oct) VISIONSPORT.COM EBF STALLIONS BOADICEA FILLIES´ STAKES (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+)

A Listed race with 13 runners and 8 of them being 3-year-olds and 3 that have been known to lead before. Spring Fling is a possible pace setter but hasn't got a fast enough time to make mt top 6 but Pixeleen could try to lead and comes out 4th best on my figures but this one may only try to lead if nothing else did and I don't think that will happen here and I'm sure hoping it doesn't, Secret Hint is my 3rd top rated and usually races prominently, Stellarta is 2nd top but this does seem to need good to firm ground to show its best and I will probably get the going it likes but top spot goes to the 3-year-old GRAVITY FLOW 100/30 who is also the other known front runner and if this one does get to the front and allowed to set its own pace it ought to be hard to catch and it's going for its 5th win from 5 runs this year and it hasn't finished outside the 1st 2 home in any race, the price isn't great but with its recent form it's not surprising.

Gravity Flow 4/1 2nd
3:45 YORK -
Class 2 handicap with 20 runners which never makes it easy to get a clear picture of how the race might pan out, there's only 3 known front runners and that's where I'm going to start as Red Pike is my 4th top rated and stall 8 is the best of the 3 possible pace setters, I start off with joint 2nd top rated horses in Ninjago and HOOF IT 16/1 but the latter is being ridden by a good 5lb claiming apprentice which then demotes Snaps Shots into 2nd spot. As usual with such a big field you need a degree of luck to win so stakes will be kept on the low side and at the price, I have to suggest going with an each-way wager.

Hoof It 16/1 3rd
8:45 NEWCASTLE -
Division 1 of a very poor class 6 race, Isntshesomething is the only 1 of the 12 runners known to lead so could be dangerous, I've only got 3 with recorded times, only Tell The Stars a time from this course and distance but it isn't a great time and Fortinbrass would be 2nd top using Wolverhampton times from 2015 as its time this year has been way below that level, top rated is WIMBOLDSLEY 13/2 it is from a time recorded last year but did show it's coming into form when 2nd last time out admittedly over 5 furlongs but this distance doesn't hold any fears for this horse but it is a very poor race and any stakes will be kept low.

Wimboldsey 12/1 3rd
9:15 NEWCASTLE -
Of this 12 runners there's only Cosmic Dust that's known to lead but its final times have been poor and has had 11 runs on the all-weather without even making the frame and can't see it changing here but an uncontested lead might see some improvement, using Wolverhampton times it's very close at the top between Dream Ally 3rd top, Captain Scooby 2nd top and Pabusar top but that was from a time recorded in 2015 and hasn't been anywhere near that time since, using the very limited times from this course the top rated is Captain Scooby who hasn't been in the best of form looking at its figures and has only won once on the all weather from 44 runs, I think it's maybe best to leave this race alone as there's just too many negatives against the top rated runners.