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Tuesday, 25 October 2016

4:00 Chelmsford Winning Racing Tips (26th Oct) COLLECT ANY TOTEPOOL WINNINGS AT BETFRED SHOPS HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

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A nice looking class 3 race with 14 runners and 3 that have been known to lead before, Handsome Dude may not be able to lead here as it prefers softer going but is well drawn in stall 1, the next possible pacesetter is Highland Sprung but it has no course form but has got a decent time from its turf form so could be a danger but stall 14 is certainly not ideal, Hakam is my 3rd top rated and ought to be staying on at the finish and might need even further to show its true best, Golden Amber is my 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and stall 2 is an asset but top spot goes to DOCTOR SARDONICUS 7/1 who is very versatile with its running style including leading and from stall 3 it could get control of the rails and then prove very hard to catch.

Doctor Sandonicus 7/1 2nd

A field of 17 but only 4 known as front runners and the best of those could be John Joiner who is my joint 3rd top rated along with Bonjour Steve and both are being ridden by 5lb claiming apprentices which would move them to joint 2nd place, my original 2nd best was Flying Bear who usually races prominently and stall 15 is ideal whilst my top rated Nocturn who needs it to be good to firm to show its best is drawn in stall 2 which could be a negative, the going is given as good and good to soft in places so there won't be a bet if that's true, so it's a race best left alone.
Division 1 is a dire race with no known front runners a couple of possibly hidden dangers in Guanabara Bay and Rock Warbler and the former has got the best time from running on the grass, Only Ten Per Cent is the only one with a recorded time of this course and distance so maybe it's going to be best to leave the race alone.

Division 2 of this race with 9 runners and only the topweight Summersault is known to have led before so could be a danger as it has not run over this course and distance and has the fastest time on turf of the field, Mossys Lodge is my 3rd top rated but quite a few spots behind the top rated, 2nd top is Frangarry but it usually struggles with the 6th furlong if it's a fast run race so may have a place chance but top is MIGHTY ZIP 9/1 who usually likes to race prominently so should be able to cover things if the pace setter tries to pinch the race from the front but the apprentice jockey employed here has had 16 rides before for the stable but without managing a win so far so my stakes will be kept on the low side.

Mighty Zip 12/1 3rd

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