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Friday, 4 November 2016

2:25 Doncaster Winning Racing Tips (5th Nov) BETFRED MOBILE WENTWORTH STAKES (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+)

racing tips, free racing tips, eric winner
Absolutely So- not in my top 5 and its best time was from 2015.....Aeolus- not in my top 5 and may prefer slower going, so a possible lay.....Burnt Sugar- a hold-up type who is 3rd best on a run in 2015 hasn't been near that level this year.....Growl- ran a very good race last time out when 2nd in a Group 1 race and this drop to Listed will be easier and my top rated.....Jack Dexter- another hold-up type and my 4th top rated so could possibly make the frame.....Kimberella- 1 of only 3 in the race known to lead, has a decent draw in stall 11 and is 2nd best on my figures.....Perfect Pastime- has better times over 5 furlongs so may find this trip too far and not in my top 5.....Janes Memory- only slow times and looks to need some cut in the going so if good to firm as forecast it would be a lay for me.....Dawaa- a possible front runner but may need further if the going is good to firm so may not be fast enough to lead here.....Dutch Destiny- only produced slow times so another that looks to be happier with some cut in the ground and therefore another possible lay.....Lady Macapa- may not want good to firm going to show its best but despite this, it's still my 5th top rated.
SUMMARY: The early pace looks most likely to come from Kimberella in stall 11 as the other 2 that have been known to lead are in stalls 1 and 2 which ain't ideal, so Kimberella ought to have a good each-way chance if trying to lead all the way but if GROWL 7/4 reproduces its last run in a much higher class race it ought to get back to winning ways here but at the time of writing I'm expecting it to be favourite but also hoping there's some value to be had. PS just as I thought it's the favourite and a bit shorter than I hoped, 5/2 would have been my idea of value but I'm not surprised it's this short as it has every chance of winning.

This is a poor class 5 apprentices race with 8 runners and 2 that have been known to lead before but only 4 have got recorded times either here or from the turf. Racing Angel is 4th best from its turf times and usually races near the front and has got stall 1, third best on turf times is DOCTOR PARKES 100/30 but this 1 is top rated using times from this course and can be held up or track the leaders, Noble Asset is 2nd best from turf times but only produced slow times here before so it doesn't look too promising for it, Red Stripes is top rated using times on grass and is 2nd best on times recorded here but this stable has only got a 8% win ratio on this course and the apprentice jockey has has 21 rides before without winning a race that's compared to the trainer of Doctor Parkes having a 21% win ratio here and shows a healthy level stakes profit and the apprentice also has a 13% win ratio for the stable and it's the trainers statistics that narrow it down to the one bet. PS not much value with my selections today but I go with my figures and both have every chance of winning and the double gives a decent return and that will probably be the way I will go.

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