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Tuesday, 22 November 2016

4:10 Wolverhampton Winning Racing Tips (23rd Nov) BETWAY SPRINT DISTANCE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

Winning racing tips, betting tips, racing tips,
Air Of York can set pace but maybe even better over further but still my second top rated.

Pearl Noir front running type third or fourth best on my figures so could make the frame.

Compton River done an ok time on this surface at Newcastle likes to track the pace but stall nine doesn't look ideal in this race.

Noble Asset has been running just about ok on turf this year third best on my times from earlier this year.

Roaring Rory is only 3 years old so could improve still but only recorded a slowish time here.

Lady Nayef is my top rated on a time from last year but hasn't run over course and distance this year but ran a very good race at Redcar two runs ago on good to firm ground.

Cruise Tothelimit versatile with running styles but only fourth best on my figures so maybe a place at best.

Desert Strike another possible front runner but only fifth or sixth best on my timings.

Harmonic Wave has got slow times at this distance on good to firm going on grass, is 0-6 on all weather runs and slow times in those races so a lay in my eyes.

Regal Miss is a twelve-run maiden, six on all-weather tracks with slow times, may try to front-run when in an easier race, maybe a lay if the price is right.

Tavener 0-8 on all weather ran a slow time this surface at Newcastle and would be a lay if I think there's any value.
SUMMARY: With 7 of the 11 runners been known to lead it could be a fast run race for its class but I'm going to stick with my top rated LADY NAYEF 12/1 who admittedly did its best time in 2015 but hasn't run over course and distance since then but did indicate to it coming back to its best at Redcar 2 runs ago and this 3-year-old could still have some improvement to come and if getting to the front or getting a trouble free passage from stall 6 it looks to have a good chance to get back to winning ways here and has to be backed each way at the price.
6:25 Kempton -
Not a very inspiring race at first glance with it not really having enough info to go through every one of the twelve runners.

Vroom is the only one I would think of as a natural front runner but its final times have been relatively slow.

Qortaaj is versatile with its running style and that includes leading and if it gets to the front here it could possibly be a big danger as it has never run on this surface so could improve for it.

Tagula Night is third top on my list from a time recorded in 2015 but has the best of the draw in stall one, all three of my top times come from that year.

Colourbearer is well treated on some of is best form and enough to become my second top rated whilst in top spot is FOR AYMAN 7/1 and this one has got a recorded time from this year although it's quite a bit slower than its best, the stable is employing a good 5lb claiming apprentice to enhance their chances and it looks like they are expecting a big run from the horse.
7:25 Kempton -
Spring Loaded has been off for 81 days but is capable of winning after a short break and has won 3 of 5 runs over this course and distance and is my joint top rated.

Amazour may really prefer a longer trip so should be staying on at the finish.

Kasbah hasn't any form on this surface in England but did record a fast time on the Tapeta surface and has won twice on Irish weather which is the same surface as this, so could be a danger to discard lightly.

Justice Good is a possible front runner but its times from Lingfield are quite slow and would need to improve, its held by Boomerang Bob but could reverse form with Spring Loaded. Related is my third top rated who ought to be staying on as it may need even further.

Gentlemen is 4th on my list and stall ten isn't ideal.

Lawmaking would be a lay if priced right, it may prefer a slower surface or needs further.

Burnt Sugar hasn't done a recorded time since 2014 so not sure what to expect but I will be leaving it alone till it shows some improvement.

Mullionheir did a time last year to only make it sixth top rated and has been out of form this year.

Boomerang Bob is my other joint top rated from a time in 2015 and hasn't run over this course and distance this year but did record a fast time on this surface at Chelmsford, which is the same surface to show its in good form.

Hakam won in a reasonable time at Chelmsford three runs ago but would need to improve to win this on that form. Dutiful Son did a time in 2014 that would make only fifth top so not for me here.

SUMMARY: Hopefully there will be a decent early pace with two possible pace setters, Related is third top rated and like all my top three can either be held up or track the leaders. In joint top spot ive got both SPRING LOADED 3/1 and BOOMERANG BOB 6/1 and there's nothing to seperate the pair of them so will have to go with backing both to get a profit whichever one does the business.

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