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Thursday, 17 November 2016

5:15 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (18th Nov) CRABBIE´S ALCOHOLIC GINGER BEER HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

Pearl Acclaim tracks leaders neither lay or bet-- Royal Mezyan top-rated also races prominently-- Coiste Bodhar can lead but neither a bet or a lay-- Astrophysics 2nd best time tracks leaders or held up-- Top Of The Bank not much form just leave alone-- Noble Act fast time on good to firm on grass also can lead possible danger-- Mossgo may prefer a slower surface-- Imperial Legend races prominently 3rd top rated-- Royal Brave 2nd over course and distance in slow time not for me-- Archimedes possible leader but slow times even on turf-- Encantar decent time recorded at Wolverhampton on this surface-- Horsforth slow time course and distance-- Captain Dunne front runner fast time good to firm so a danger-- Native Falls front runner fast time good to firm so a danger.

SUMMARY: It's fairly tight on times at the top of my list with only one-tenth of a second separating my top 3 until you take off the 3lbs the apprentice riding ROYAL MEZYAN 11/2 can claim and thats probably enough to swing it into its favour and this must be a chance to follow up its win last time out.

NR: Royal Mezyan
6:45 Newcastle -
A poor class 6 apprentice riders race, ive got negatives against 6 of them, only 3 with recorded times times on this surface but theres also only Carlovian who has been known to lead before even though it is quite versatile with its running style but its still a maiden after 19 runs which tempers any enthusiasm. George Bailey is 3rd top rated but quite a way behind my top 2 but its time that day would have been a lot faster if it hadnt got into trouble, Dream Ally is 2nd top on its course and distance time but is top rated using times from Wolverhampton but that was recorded in 2015 so it may be best to look at the topweight CAPTAIN SCOOBY 6/1 who is top rated on times recorded here at Newcastle but only 2nd top on Wolverhampton times but once again that was recorded in 2015 so on times from this year the selection is top rated but the trainer Richard Guest has also got Lady Bacchus running in this race, both won last time out but this one ran over 5 furlongs and not this distance but if lasting the trip it could be a danger another possible negative is the fact the jockette riding the selection has only had 18 runs before and all for this stable without winning a race but the other jockey riding for them has never ridden for the stable before, so I will stick with the proven and have a small bet on the selection,

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