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Thursday, 15 December 2016

3:30 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (15th Dec) BETWAY HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

Winning Racing Tips, Winning Betting, Winning With Eric
A hard race to be too confident about with 3 horses that could easily be hidden dangers, I've got More Beau as my 3rd top rated and it can be held up or track the leaders but stall 9 doesn't look ideal, DARK SIDE DREAM 4/1 is my 2nd top rated and is one of 2 in the race that has been known to lead before and is nicely drawn in stall 3 and is being ridden by an apprentice who has only had 1 run before for this stable and it was a winning one so looks like they are expecting a big run from it in this race, top rated is SLINGSBY 9/1 who is also being ridden by an apprentice who does well for stable and the other horse known to have led before and stall 5 doesn't look likely to be a problem in the make-up of this race, if I look at the selections times here and then with its Wolverhampton times, which has the same surface the bottom weight JESS 20/1 comes out top rated and if taking to this course it might have some chance of going well and can be backed each way at the price, so I'm struggling to split these 3 horses and the betting will determine my final decision but I would be happy backing all 3 if it ensured I made a profit whichever one wins. At the prices, it is easily possible to back all 3 to get a nice profit whichever one/s do the business.

Slingsby 9/1 3rd
Dark Side Dream 9/2 5th
Jess 50/1 10th
4:05 Newcastle -
A race where form from the 2 courses with this surface conflicts then I can find 2 and maybe 3 possible hidden dangers and 3 that are known to lead and that's where I'll start, Roaring Rory and Lady Nayef are my 3rd and 2nd top rated on Wolverhampton times, top rated on these times is Captain Scooby who usually stays on strongly at this distance but this one's time at this course isn't good enough to be in my top 3, Searanger is 3rd best on course and distance times but hasn't been in good form lately, in 2nd spot is Horsforth and usually likes to track the leaders and top spot goes to INTENSE STARLIGHT 10/1 who won twice here before getting caught out when held up as usual and the early pace had been quite slow so the leaders weren't fading as normal, but it looks like this will be run at a decent pace which it needs and it could get back to winning ways with the return of the jockey who won both of those races at this course but luckily the price permits it to be backed as an each way bet.

Intense Starlight 10/1 Unp
6:25 Chelmsford -
A nice looking class 4 race with 10 runners but only Bertie Blu Boy is known as a front running type but stall 10 isnt going to be ideal especially if something nearer the rails decides to change their tactics and try to force the pace and its best doesnt put it in my top 4, Free Zone is either 3rd or 4th on my figures and has shown its well being with being placed in its last 3 races and won one of them, the 3year old Florencio is 3rd or 2nd top rated and should be staying on at the finish but may not get there in time but could make the frame, PARKOUR 13/2 is top rated on this years times and usually likes to track the leaders and showed its fitness when finishing 2nd last time out over this course and distance, if I go with 2016 times Picture Times wouldnt be in my top 4 but did a time in 2015 that would make it the top rated but would need to improve a lot to win this on what its shown this year and usually it does give an indication of a return to form which it hasnt done so far this year and is best left alone for the time being.

Parkour 8/1 Unp
8:00 Chelmsford -
A very poor class 7 race with several no hopers and a couple of possibly hidden dangers, so everything points to low stakes if betting at all but I did tip this horse up before and its ran ok but this looks an even easier chance except for the lack of early pace in the race as the selection is usually staying on at the finish and looks as though it wants further or a stiffer course but im hoping it will be worthwhile having a small each way bet on RYAN'S STYLE 9/1 and if its not a big enough price to back each way then maybe it would be best to leave the race alone, the price is just big enough for an each way bet but I emphasise to keep stakes low.

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