6:45 Newcastle -
This class 4 race has only attracted 8 runners over this straight 5 furlongs, there's 2 known front running types but one of them Bahango isn't in my top 4, I've only got 1 negative against anything in the race so still quite hard to analyse, Willbeme is the other and most likely leader and it is my 2nd top rated so could improve a little if getting an uncontested lead, which wouldn't surprise me if it did it still leaves me with FREDRICKA 100/30 who is my top-rated again, the big negative against this horse is the trainers record, he's 0-19 with his 4-year-olds and older horses but this horse nearly broke his duck last time out when beaten a neck and has every chance to go one better this time out but stakes will be kept low because of the negative against his name and the available price doesn't give any value but could help in a multiple bet.
8:15 Newcastle -
Back to class 6 here and up to 14 runners but only 2 that I would call natural front running types but neither are in my top 4, I've got joint 3rd top rated with Lady Bacchus who usually races prominently and Novabridge who is a versatile when it comes to racing tactics which also applies to Cruise Tothelimit my 2nd top rated and they could set up the race for the strong finishing type in the shape of WINDFORPOWER 20/1 who ran well when finishing 3rd in its last but one race over this course and distance then moved up to 6 furlongs last time out and is very quickly dropped back to 5 furlongs here and has a good chance of returning to the winners enclosure in this race but this is another trainer with a poor record at this course as not having had a winner from 36 runners but that might be more to do with the class of horses in the stable as much as the trainer sending horses here just for the run and like any small trainer they have to grab every winning chance that comes along but it does mean stakes will be on the low side of things and a small each way bet at the price could pay dividends.
No comments:
Post a comment