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Saturday, 25 February 2017

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tip (25th February) Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Lingfield horse racing
This is a Listed race over the minimum trip with just 9 runners and 4 of them have been known to lead before and trying to analyse the race its the typical battle between speed and class and then proven against possible and it's only with the betting am I able to decide which way to go, most of these are capable are winning decent races, Lancelot Du Lac and Pretend ran against each other last time out and the latter was unlucky not to win the race and could easily turn the form around this time but the price is too poor to be of any value, well in my eyes, which at least makes the rest of the field as good to big prices as all of the runners are top class handicappers. I think the front runners will set the race up for a finishing type and I'm going to row in with VERNE CASTLE 14/1 yes it only won in a class 4 race last time out but this 4-year-old has improved and has won it last 2 races over this course and distance and in fast times and deserves its chance to take on this class, its got the plum draw in stall 1 so can take the shortest route along the rails and hopefully catch and pass them all as the line looms large and the price permits me to go with an each way wager but my stakes will be kept on the low side of things.

Verne Castle 14/1 3rd
5:45 Wolverhampton -
I don't usually look at selling races but some of the entrants here look too good to run in this class but it's always an even bigger gamble on whether a trainer or owner wants to get rid of the horse as only the winner goes up for sale, 2 horses that have took my eye from form in 2015 which would see either of them beat the other 7 runners easily but neither have any course and distance since that year so SUMMERINTHECITY 8/1 who would be my top rated by 2lb could win and has been running class 5 so this is a decent drop, as could INVINCIBLE RIDGE 6/4 but this favourite has been running in class 4 races so an even bigger drop in class. If I only use times from last year and this year the 3-year-old PULSATING 12/1 comes out top so I will look to go with backing all 3 to show a profit but there is still a question mark over which horse will set the pace and if it becomes a 2 furlong dash anyone of them could take the prize so once again my stakes will be kept on the low side.

Note: Pulsating wasn't highlighted but the text detail all three horse should be backed.

Pulsating 12/1 1ST + EX £15.30
Invincible Ridge 13/8 2nd
Summerinthecity 12/1 3rd

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