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Monday, 20 February 2017

3:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (20th February) HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

It's unusual to see a class 2 race on a Monday unless its a bank holiday, of the 11 runners 8 of them have led before so it could be mad dash from start to finish, Boom The Groom starts of as my top rated and has the plum draw in stall 1 so could gain control on the rails and then prove hard to catch, my original 2nd best is Encore D'or who usually races prominently without actually leading but stall 10 isn't going to help its cause but ROYAL BIRTH 14/1 starts off as 3rd best but is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot and hopefully it can get a decent early position from stall 5 from which to attack as the line looms and the trainer does well here and the apprentice has got a 17% win rate for the stable so it looks a positive booking and I'm hoping it's enough to tip things in its favour and the price means I will be having an each-way wager.

Royal Birth 14/1 3rd
4:20 Wolverhampton - Division I
Eleven runners in this division with 3 that have been known to lead before and 2 of them are my 4th and 3rd top rated, Colourbearer from stall 5 is my 4th best while Commanche from stall 10 is my 3rd top rated but this one could easily get across to contest the lead if not getting it all its own way and this trainer-jockey combination usually means that connections are expecting a big run from their horse, Head Space is my 2nd top rated but the apprentice who's been given the ride has only managed 1 win from 31 rides before today which doesn't fill me with confidence about its chances to win this, my top rated is DIVINE CALL 16/1 who is from the Milton Bradley stable and he's got my top rated in both divisions so it looks as though they had set out to try and win this race and only Commanche looks capable of upsetting their plans if it can get an easy lead but that looks doubtful from such a wide draw and at the price I will be having an each way punt on the selection.

Divine Call 20/1 10th
4:55 Wolverhampton - Division II
With 10 runners and 3 possible pace setters and my top 2 ratings are in that 3, Sugar Town is drawn in stall4 but I'm not sure if its good enough to get to the front especially with the other front runners drawn either side of it, Major Valentine is my 2nd top rated and got stall 3 so could be the one to gain control of the rails but its also a horse I think will do even better on a slower surface, my top rated horse, INDIAN AFFAIR 9/1 is in stall 5 and if this one can get up alongside the other front runner or even get to the front on its own and it then ought to be hard to catch.

Indian Affair 9/1 9th

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