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Wednesday, 15 March 2017

4:35 Southwell Racing Tips (15th March) Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+)

racing tips
This is a poor class 6 race with just 8 runners and Scott Dixon the trainer has 3 entries but if running on their merits only one of them is of any significance and that is SPOWARTICUS 9/2 who showed an indication of coming back to form last time out when finishing 2nd and it didn't ever get to the front that day but it's the only known front runner in this race and if it does get to the front it could prove very hard to catch and comes out 2nd best on my time figures, the only other 2 with recorded times are Viva Verglas who won last time out and carries a 6lb penalty in this race and FORTINBRASS 11/4 who finished 1 length behind it in 3rd place and that 6lb penalty is enough to reverse the placing and the latter has run faster last year so if back to the form of 2016 it has every chance here but Spowarticus could pinch this race from the front if getting an uncontested lead so I will have to go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one does the business but stakes will be kept low.

Fortinbrass 11/4 9/2
Spowarticus 8/1 5th
7:20 Newcastle -
Another class 6 race with 9 runners this time but only 1 front runner again and that's Entertaining Ben but its 0-9 on the all-weather and its time doesn't put it in my top 4, in 3rd spot is Windforpower who has shown its very close to full fitness this year and the same applies to my 2nd top rated Indian Pursuit but my top rated is Groundworker but it hasn't run since the end of November so may need this race for fitness, both Groundworker 1-37 and Windforpower 1-36 have poor trainer statistics which puts me off them so leaves me with INDIAN PURSUIT 3/1 who has got good trainer and jockey statistics which point to them expecting it to run a big race here and it is a good opportunity for it to get back to winning ways.

Indian Pursuit 9/2 2nd
8:50 Newcastle -
The 3rd class 6 race of the day and 10 runners in this race with once again only the 1 known front runner in the 3 year old Lady Cristal who is my 5th top rated but with an uncontested lead and its age it could still have improvement to come and it is fit with 3 runs this year, Spirit Of Zebedee is my 4th top rated from a time recorded this year and has good trainer and jockey statistics, in 3rd spot is Ambitious Icarus with decent trainer and jockey statistics and both like to track the leader, my 2nd top rated is Disclosure but the trainer is 0-7 here and the jockey 0-9 for the stable which doesn't fill me with confidence but my top rated is Epeius but this one is 0-24 for the trainer here and 0-18 for the jockey when riding for this stable, so I'm not sure how to go in this race and it's maybe best left alone.

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