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Friday, 3 March 2017

7:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (3rd March) Sprint Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+)

LADY BACCHUS usually tracks the leaders and has only produced a slow time on this surface at Wolverhampton but is 2nd top on the course and distance times so could make the frame.
PEARL NOIR has been known to lead but hasn't any form on this course but has done an ok time at Wolverhampton so could possibly make the frame.
BOGSNOG will need to be on its toes here as it probably wants further but could be staying on at the finish but maybe too late.
LITTLE BELTER is a versatile type when it comes to the tactics its uses but its times have been on the slow side and not in my top 4 ratings.
GOWANLESS can be held up or track the leaders and its best time makes it 3rd top on my list but it was well beaten and maybe just towed along in a fast run race but it could make the frame.
GREAT EXPECTATIONS hasn't raced on this surface before so not sure if it will like it but it does as though it might like a longer trip to show its best.
NORA BATT has got drawn in stall 11 and is a possible front-running type while is 0-9 on the all-weather and this surface looks as though it might not suit it.
KINLOCH PRIDE has been off for a while and may need this run for fitness and its still a maiden after 19 races and I doubt that will change here.
HADLEY is another who hasn't run on this surface before and even if it turns out to like this surface it may need a longer trip to show its true form.
A J COOK had its last 3 runs in 2016 over this course and distance and is usually held up, it's my top rated so it will hopefully be staying on strongly at the finish.
YISTY is another possible front runner coming out of stall 9 but its form at this course is quite poor and it's not for me in this race.
NAME THAT TOON is the last of the possible front runners and this one is drawn in stall 3 but its final times have been slow at Wolverhampton and maybe will struggle again in this race.
SEA OF GREEN can be held up or track the leaders and its best time puts it 4th top on course times so could make the frame if others falter.
BARNSDALE is still a maiden after 17 races and only done a slow time at Wolverhampton and I can find no reason to think it will break its duck in this race.
SUMMARY: TThere's5 of the 14 runners that have led before but none of them are in my top 4 speed figures so they will probably set it up for a finishing type, theres very little between Sea Of Green my 4th top rated and Gowanless in 3rd spot aand both can be held up or track the leaders, in 2nd spot is the topweight Lady Bacchus who usually tracks the leaders and ought to have a decent chance to make the frame here but my top rated is A J COOK 20/1 who is usually held up for a late run and recorded its best time 3 runs ago when 6th in a fast run race but its next 2 races were run at a slower early pace so the leaders had something in reserve to repel the late challengers but with with 5 horses that could lead in this race it will hopefully be the fast pace the selection needs to aim at and then come home the stronger and has a decent chance to return to winning ways and I do love it when I can go with an each way wager.

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