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Friday, 10 March 2017

7:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (10th March) Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+)

Eric Winner
WINDFORPOWER can be held up or track the leaders and is my 2nd top rated so could make the frame in this race.

NOVABRIDGE is versatile when it comes to its running style including leading and comes out 3rd best on my figures so could also make the frame.
THE BURNHAM MARE has been known to lead before but has no recent surface form and would need to improve from its 2015 times.
SATCHVILLE FLYER has no recent form on this surface and distance but may find this trip too short and also may prefer a different surface.
LACKADAY is a hold-up type but may need this run for fitness and it looks like a longer trip would suit it better.
SOCIALITES RED is 0-13 on the all-weather tracks and its times haven't been great but is a versatile type with which style of running it deploys and that includes leading.
SEE VERMONT isn't in my top 5 ratings but can be held up or track the pace setters and the jockey booking looks positive.
DANDILION has only recorded a slow time at this course and an average time at Wolverhampton so not for me in this race.
DAVIDS BEAUTY is joint top rated with Dandilion on Wolverhampton times but hasn't any form on this course and has been known to lead but also not for me in this race. LITTLE BELTER is another versatile sort with which running style it uses but its best time doesn't put it in my top 5 ratings at the course.
NORA BATT is 0-10 on all weather and the trainer hasn't had a winner here from 20 runners has led before but this surface might not be the most suitable for it.
A J COOK will be trying to stay on strongly at the end of this race and is my top rated but will need to get away on terms this time to have a chance.
SEA OF GREEN comes out 4th top on a time recorded this year so is in form and could quite easily make the frame and can be held up or track the early pace setters.
WHISPERING WOLF isn't in my top 5 times here and has done only slow times at Wolverhampton and may improve for a longer trip.
SUMMARY: With 14 runners this looks a competitive class 6 race especially when 6 of them have been known to lead before and Novabridge who is my 3rd top rated is a possible front runner and if leading it could prove a bit hard to catch but I do have the top weight Windforpower as my 2nd top rated but top on my figures is A J COOK 25/1 who I did tip up last time out over this course and distance but that day it missed the kick from the stalls and never got involved in the race so I'm hoping it gets away on level terms and then stays on the stronger at the finish and gets back to winning ways and if reproducing its best time from November last year it could feasibly do so and as I was hoping the price is a lovely each way value bet.

NR: A J Cook

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