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Saturday, 17 June 2017

2:05 Musselbugh Racing Tips (17th June) Handicap (Class 3) (4yo+)

A lot of runners in 6 sprints today so a bit short and sweet summary for each race. With 15 runners and 2 could be possible pace setters if they had to and Stanghow is my 4th top rated but 2 more natural front running sorts, Excessable is 3rd top and tracks the leaders, Olivia Fallow is 2nd top rated but my top rated is SHOWDAISY 10/1 who is one of the most likely pace setters and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but too many runners to go in all guns blazing with my stakes.

Showdaisy 11/1 3rd
There's 3 known front runners and Foxy Forever is one of them and my 5th top rated, I've got Taajub and Bonjour Steve as my joint 3rd top rated and in 2nd spot is Rio Ronaldo and my top rated is ORIENTAL RELATION 12/1 who is a possible pacesetter and I expect it to try to lead all the way and the jockey has a 31% win rate for the stable which is a good pointer to them expecting a big run in this race and the price is big enough to go with an each-way wager.

Oriental Relation 12/1 4th
With 17 runners there's only 3 that have been known to lead before, I've got joint 4th top rated horses with Harry Hurricane and Desert Law, in 3rd spot is Line Of Reason and in 2nd spot East Street Revue and all 3 of them can be held up or track the leaders but my top rated is STEPPER POINT 16/1 who is also a good possibility to set the pace and if they get it right it could lead all the way to follow up its win last time out but my stakes will be kept on the low side again and at the price an each way bet.

Stepper Point 25/1 9th
YORK 5.15
There's only 1 known front runner in this field of 20 and that's Slingsby who hasn't been in form for quite a while now, POINT OF WOODS 25/1 is my 3rd top rated but is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice in this race which would move it to top spot but there's no trainer/jockey stats to work with, Meshardal who has won its last 2 runs in class 5 and now moves up a class and has merited the opportunity and just may not be good enough but my other selection is MY DAD SYD 14/1 and the trainer has a 17% win rate and the jockey a 19% win rate for the stable, I'll back both each way to small stakes to show a profit whichever does the business.

My Dad Syd 14/1 3rd
Point Of Woods 50/1 11th
There's 9 runners and 2 probable pace setters my 3rd top rated horse Entertaining Ben and my 2nd top rated PEARL NOIR 5/1 and this one's trainer has a 15% win ratio here and the 7lb claiming apprentice is 2-5 for this stable so it looks like they are expecting a big run here and my top rated horse is the 3-year-old OCELOT 7/1 where the jockey has a 15% win rate for the stable but the stable is 0-26 at this course which is 1 positive and 1 negative stat which is strange so I will go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one wins.

Ocelot 7/1 1st
Pearl Noir 11/1 8th

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