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Tuesday, 13 June 2017

3:40 Yarmouth Racing Tips (14th June) Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+ 0-55)

This race is nearly as bad as it gets, there are 14 runners and 4 that have been known to lead before but I've got negatives against 9 of them and I've got ratings fast enough to register for just 2 of the runners, Justice Rock is the lower rated one of the two and also may find this distance too far if there's a fast early pace which is what I'm hoping will happen when my top rated is a front running type and I'm hoping that GOADBY 9/1 tries to lead all the way here, I find it strange that this is only the 2nd horse the trainer has sent to this course when he trains in Leicestershire and the one road A47 would take him here, I'm hoping it's an omen for them expecting a big run in this race.

Goadby 11/1 4th
I've got just 1 horse marked down as a pace setting type so the other 9 must not let it get too much of an easy lead especially as BRONZE BEAU 15/2 is my joint 2nd top rated and has merited its attempt at this step up in class but could be problematic from the front if given its own way, Henley has been in good form lately and won last time out but the trainer has a poor 0-9 record at this course which puts me off a bit, in top spot I've got the topweight SILVANUS 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders and recorded its best time this year at Hamilton so this course shouldn't be any trouble and its been 2nd on of its last 3 runs and has a good chance here to get back to winning ways.

Bronze Beau 25/1 8th
Silvanus 15/2 9th

The betting will finalise my decision about this race as it is hard to analyse when 10 of the 15 runners haven't got much form to work with but I've got 3 horses that I have marked down as having a chance but stakes will be kept low in case there's a danger lurking within the race, NUALA TAGULA 15/2 is my 2nd top rated the trainer has a 13% win rate and the jockey a 21% win rate for the stable which is good and its a hold up type rated only 1lb below TRIBESMAN 14/1 who normally races prominently just behind the leaders and the trainer of this one has a 20% win rated and the jockey a 13% win rate for the stable, in 3rd spot I've got VERY FIRST BLADE 10/1 who is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which would move it to top spot and its one of only 2 horses that I've got noted as front running types whilst the trainer has a 2-23 win ration the jockey is 0-5 so I will be looking to back all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins.

Nuala Tagula 15/2 7th
Tribesman 14/1 10th
Very First Blade 18/1 3rd

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