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Thursday, 20 July 2017

2:30 Hamilton Racing Tips (20th July) Handicap

Eric Winner
2:30 Hamilton - Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 10 runners
Star Cracker 99 may not want the going to be too fast but does race prominently 8/1 Kodimoor 99 also races prominently and ought to make the frame 6/1 Rat Catcher 100 is my top rated but the trainer is 0-21 at this course 25/1.
SUMMARY: I'm going with backing all 3 to make a profit, Rat Catcher may prefer a longer trip so if they don't go very fast in the early stages it may struggle to catch those in front of it, Kodimoor hasn't any negatives against its name so looks a possible winner, Star Cracker may not want it to be too fast but the jockey booking looks a positive as he's got a 17% win rate for the stable.

Kodimoor 9/2 1st
Star Cracker 6/1 6th
Rat Catcher 33/1 8th
3:05 Hamilton - Class 5 – 6 furlongs – 7 runners
Quiet Warrior 96- hasn't been in the best of form lately but may bounce back anytime soon. Buccaneers Vault 98- the trainer has a 17% win ratio here and could make the frame. Top Of The Bank 100 may be allowed to lead here as there's no other known pace setter in the race and if doing so could quite easily lead all the way and 8/1 looks decent value.

Top Of The Bank 10/1 5th

4:00 Chepstow - Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
This race is hard to come to a conclusion about, Bahamian Dollar 7/1 and Vincentti 14/1 are my joint top rated with Farleigh Mac just 1lb below them, both Bahamian Dollar and Farleigh Mac 5/2 have been known to front run I'm looking to back all 3 to make a profit whichever one wins.

Bahamian Dollar 7/1 1st
Farleigh Mac 5/2 2nd
Vincentti 25/1 9th
4:30 Chepstow - Class 6 – 5 furlongs – 16 runners
This race is a poor affair but I'm going with Lucky Clover 9/4 who is the top weight here and against slower horses, it has to have a chance to follow up its win last time out and from stall 10 it should be able to cover any moves on either side of the course.

Lucky Clover 9/4 2nd
5:30 Leicester - Class 6 (apprentices) – 6 furlongs – 9 runners
Monarch Maid 98 a versatile type tactics wise but may find this too far if its a fast early pace. Jazz Legend 99 may also find this trip too far with a fast pace at this course Generalyse 100 is the one thats most likely to lead here and if setting a fast early pace it may prevent anything from stating on to catch it and all of its 3 wins on turf have come at thic course and the jockey is 1-3 for the stable so it looks like they are expecting a big run in this race and 9/1 is a decent price.

Generalyse 14/1 7th
5:40 Doncaster - Class 5 (apprentices) – 5 furlongs – 10 runners
ive got 3 horses tightly handicapped at the top of my ratings, Roys Legacy a possible front runner, but theres 4 others that also might want to lead, and has got stall 10 to help its cause but the jockey is 0-4 for the stable, Miss Rosina may not want the going to be too fast but the trainer is 0-11 at this course which puts me off, im going with Kiringa 12/1 who can deploy any tactics to suit the race and the trainer has a 13% win ratio but this will be the jockeys 3rd ride for the stable and the other 2 have both resulted in wins so it looks a positive booking.

Kiringa 12/1 6th

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