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Friday, 11 August 2017

2:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (11th Aug)

Racing Tip
Louis Vee is 4th best and versatile with what running tactics it deploys Ambitious Boy hasn't won since 2014 but can be towed along to produce a good time but not win Head Space is a hold up type that I make 2nd best BOGSNOG 7/1 is the most likely pace setter in this race from stall 2 and if getting to the front ought to be very hard to catch, it won 2 runs ago from this draw but couldn't lead that day as the stall 1 horse took it on and still won, I don't think the horse inside it can lead here so it should be able to gain control of the rails this time, it was then tried over 7 furlongs where it tired and is quickly dropped back to its best distance.

Bogsnog 7/1 1st

HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1 3rd top rated drawn and a possible pace setter drawn in stall 4, the trainer has a 20% win rate and the jockey has the same 20% win rate for the stable. JERSEY BREEZE 6/1 2nd top rated another possible front runner in stall 8, its the jockeys 1st ride for the trainer who has an 18% win rate here. UNDER THE COVERS 8/1 my top rated and again a possible pace setter but out in stall 14, the trainer has a 16% win rate but the jockey has a cracking 38% win rate for the stable.
SUMMARY: With 4 known front runners in the race and my top 3 all being in that 4 it could be a fast run race, they all have decent trainer/jockey stats so I won't try to split them and will go with backing all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins.

Highly Sprung 4/1 Unp
Jersey Breeze 8/1 9th
Under The Covers 8/1 Unp NEWMARKET 8.10
Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 race and the top weighted REPUTATION 13/2 is well clear on my figures despite having to give weight away all round and the bottom weight comes out 2nd best, the only known front running type is the 3 year old Waqaas who could be dangerous if allowed its own way up front but I doubt the going will allow my figures to mean anything but I will be betting if the going is suitable.

Reputation 8/1 4th
Only 7 runners but 3 of them have led before and so have my 2 top rated horses, AYRESOME ANGEL 11/4 starts off as my top rated and the trainer has a 21% win rate, TEEPEE TIME 10/1 starts off in 2nd spot but its 5lb claiming apprentice moves it to joint top and the jockey has a 15% win rate for the stable which has a 16% win rate at this course, I can't split them and will go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one prevails.

Teepee Time 10/1 1st
Ayrsome Angel 11/4 4th

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