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Wednesday, 27 September 2017

9:10 Kempton Racing Tips (27th September)

Racing Tips
Tigserin --- has only produced slow times and doesn't look to like this surface and in my eyes will be a lay if there's any value in its price.
Storm Lightning--- has only poor surface form and looks as though a shorter distance would also help its cause this is its 1st run this year so may need it for fitness and I think another one to lay.
Monarch Maid --- is 0-6 on all-weather tracks and another one that looks to be happier over a shorter trip so another possible lay.
Who Told Jo Jo --- this one is 0-8 on the all-weather and also looks as though a shorter distance would enhance its chances and maybe a lay but being a 3year old it could still improve.
Rapid Rise is an 11 race maiden who hasn't shown much form lately but I still think it will be better over further so another possible lay in my opinion.
TRIPLE DREAM --- 25/1 is top rated but in a fast run race it does struggle to stay the distance, the 7lb claimer is 0-2 for this stable which also puts me off to some degree but it is capable of winning this race if it puts its all into it.
KRAZY PAVING --- 11/1 is my 2nd top rated despite this not being its favourite surface(that's more to do with the poor opposition than this one's performances) and usually tracks the leaders.
Something Lucky --- is another possible lay, it may find this distance a bit too far and prefers other surfaces.
ATLANT BELLE --- 2/1 this 3year old is my 3rd top rated and the only known front-runner in the race then add on the luck of getting the prime draw in stall 1 things do look in its favour, both the trainer and the jockey have decent stats to make me think connections are expecting a big run here and I'm thinking it will try and could well succeed in leading from start to finish.
Tifl is 0-6 on the all-weather tracks and may need a longer trip to show any worthwhile form and maybe another to lay.
Treacherous---is a 3year old whos shown only poor form but this is its handicap debut so could be dangerous but I think it might get outpaced and need a longer trip.
Whiteley---has only produced slow times at this distance and may need further in time to show its best.
SUMMARY: I will go with backing all 3 highlighted selections but I will be having my bigger bet on the 3year old in stall, 1 but am I bit annoyed is such a small price but it could lead all the way here, and then back the other pair each way just in case they come and spoil things for the leader and they could also add to the profits if making the frame.

Atlanta Belle 2/1 2nd
Triple Dream 25/1 3rd
Crazy Paving 11/1 10th

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