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Saturday, 7 October 2017

2:05 Newmarket Racing Tips (7th October)

Of the 14 runners I've got half of them marked down as possible pacesetters, there's no bias here with the draw so that doesn't eliminate any of them, also 9 of the runners are 3year olds, Gravity Flow is my 3rd top rated and represents the older horses and is a possible front-runner, my 2nd best rated is the 3year old RELY ON ME 11/1 who is a possible pacesetter and from stall 9 should be able to go whichever side has any advantage but 5 of the 7 known front-runners are drawn high in stalls 9-13 so maybe that's where to be, the jockey has a decent 15% win rate for this stable so that looks a positive booking but I have got ROSE BERRY 14/1 rated higher and it's being ridden by a good 3lb claiming apprentice which looks a positive move but it is his 1st ride for this stable so no stats to work with, it usually likes to track the leaders and from stall 6 it can cover any moves, the only downside is the poor 0-18 record of the trainer at this course but that might be just coincidence as its harder to win at the top courses, I will go with backing both with an each way bet to cover both angles.

Rose Berry 20/1 6th
Rely On Me 11/1 Unp
This I nice competitive race but only Seeking Magic is known as a front-running type but I doubt it will win but could do better than its 6th top rating suggests and could make the frame from the front, Gentlemen is my 4th top rated and it could go well here, WATCHABLE 12/1 has done a fast time at Newcastle but hasn't run here but it would still need to improve a few pounds to win this race but that's quite possible with a 7lb claiming apprentice on board who has a 13% win rate for the stable but the stable does also have HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 15/2 running in the race who is my 3rd top rated, GO FAR 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and once again an apprentice is given the ride to help its cause, that still leaves KING ROBERT 8/1who is my top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, I cant reduce my list of possible winners so will be looking to back all 4 to show a profit whatever does the job.

Watchable 22/1 4th
Highland Acclaiim 50/1 Unp
Go Far 10/1 Unp
Of the 17 runners there's just 4 that are front-running types and JACK LUEY 33/1 from stall 9 looks the most likely to do best of those at the front being my 2nd top rated but if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch for most of these and only IMPERIAL LEGEND 12/1 has recorded a faster time so if the going is good or faster I will be going with 2 bets to cover both angles and show a nice profit whichever tactic proves best.

Imperial Legend 12/1 7th
Jack Luey 33/1 Unp

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