Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Monday, 9 October 2017

8:25 Kempton Racing Tips (9th October)

Kempton Racing Tips
BORN TO FINISH is a hold-up type but its best time puts it outside my top 4.
HIGHLY SPRUNG may need a longer trip than this on the all-weather where its 0-5 because it's easier and it may get outpaced.
RED ALERT will need to be held up to get this distance as it looks better on a shorter trip. HIMSELF is the opposite this one may need further to show any worthwhile form.
MAAZEL didn't record a fast time at Newcastle over this distance and also may need further.
DONT BLAME ME this is a potential pacesetter but it may not be fast enough to lead in this race.
VERY HONEST another possible pacesetter and my 4th top rated and is nearest the rail of those known to lead.
KOWAIYESS could possibly be a danger but it only recorded a slow time over this trip on good going on the turf.
DEBONAIRE DAVID usually likes to track the leaders and comes out 3rd best on my own speed figures so could pick some up as the finish looms and make the frame.
BIG LACHIE may need a longer trip to show its best but its one I couldn't lay but defo not on my list of possible winners.
MISHAAL my top rated and a possible front-runner and stall 5 may be good enough for it to at least get a good position if not actually lead.
HIGHER COURT stall 6 for this possible front-runner and my 2nd top rated so ought to be thereabouts for the whole race.
SUMMARY: With 4 possible pace setters this could be a fast run race when all 4 of them are in my top 6 ratings, I'm hoping that MISHAAL 11/2 can from stall 5 get to the front to either lead all the way or at least contest the lead, the trainer has a decent 15% win rate here at Kempton which looks a positive but it is a tightly handicapped race with only 4lbs between the topweight and the bottom weight so my stakes won't be at full power.