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Tuesday, 12 December 2017

12:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th December)

Betting on a white Christmas
12.00--Think this race could be won from the front as there's 3 known front-runners and they are drawn in the inside stalls, not sure Kyllukey stall 1 will be allowed to set its own slightly slower pace, Wild Flower stall 2 hasn't any c/d form but has done an ok time at Chelmsford, top weight INDIAN AFFAIR 6/1 is my top rated and if getting to the front should prove hard to catch.

Indian Affair 6/1 1st
12.30-- This race won't take much winning and there's a couple of front-runners to make sure there's a decent early pace but I think they will set ip up for a finishing type, Compton Prince is 2nd top rated but in stall 2 it could get squeezed out in the early stages and that may give the advantage to BILLYOAKES 3/1 who might from stall 8 be able to get an early prominent position from which to stay on strongly at the finish.

Billyoaks 13/2 3rd
1.00-- a very competitive 7 runner race and ive only got Rosabelle who I can discount from my list, Very Honest is the only known frontrunner and if getting an easy lead could well pinch this race from the front and hes only 1lb below Pretty Bubbles and the topweight Show Stealer has an equal rating from a Kempton time, so I will go with these 3 but maybe leaning in favour of VERY HONEST 4/1 who im hoping can win this from the front and if anyone can do it then Luke Morris has to be one of them.

Very Honest 9/2 3rd
2.10-- a nice class 2 race with over half of the 9 runners have been known to lead before so this could be fast and furious, Come On Dave has done a fast time but in a couplke of grades lower and I doubt it can be as competitive from stall 8, ZAC BROWN 16/1 from stall 2 could get control of the rails and thats worth a few pounds and its only rated 1lb below ROYAL BIRTH 9/1 who can also front run but stall 9 isnt ideal but im going with doing both of them each way to get a profit.

Royal Birth 9/1 2nd
Zac Brown 16/1 8th
3.15-- I can see Mossgo setting the pace in this race despite being in stall 7 and it's my 3rd top rated so could do enough to at least make the frame, Temple Road is well weighted and comes out 2nd best but my top rated is SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 10/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and in the make-up of this race it could easily get prominent early from stall 10 and then prove the stronger and the price permits me to go each way.

Sandfrankskipsgo 20/1 5th
3.50--Roys Legacy is my 3rd top rated and 1 of 3 possible pace setters so could easily make the frame, YOUR GIFTED 11/1 is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb off top spot and could be the one to profit if they go off too fast, SOMETHING LUCKY 11/4 is top rated and a possible pace setter, although he doesnt, have to lead he is stuck out in stall 11 which isnt ideal but also not a deal breaker in the makeup of this race so I will go with backing my top 2 to profit if either does the business.
4.20-- with so many 3year olds in the race its hard to be very confident but I might be tempted to having a small bet on ZENOVIA 7/2 if there's any value in the price but when I say a small bet I do mean small.
4.50-- 2nd division of this race is a little better but still not something to be betting too heavily on, Kyllach Me looks a likely leader and stall 4 is ok, being my 3rd top rated it could easily make the frame but maybe not hot hold off all challengers if the 2 above him run to thier best, Ambitious Boy comes out 2nd top and ought to be staying on at the finish and very often looks as though further would suit it but top rated is WEDGEWOOD ESTATES 6/1 but isnt the most consistant but 1 of its only 2 wins has come at this course and distance and the race won't take much winning.

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