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Saturday, 30 December 2017

12:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th December)

Free Racing Tips
LINGFIELD 12.00.
RECKLESS ENDEAVOUR hasn't run here before but a time from Kempton is below whats needed here and a longer trip may suit it better so a lay for me at 6/1.
ZAC BROWN is a possible pacesetter and my 2nd top rated so could prove hard to catch if managing to lead from stall 7 so I'm surprised it is a 25/1 chance but maybe its the draw.
TROPICS goes well on the all-weather tracks but hasn't run here before but will be staying on at the finish if it reproduces its best but not value in my eyes at 11/4.
DUBAI ONE I'm not sure this surface suits this 33-year-old but it does have stall 1 and has been known to lead before but its not for me here and at 3/1 I would lay it just for the value.
DOC SPORTELLO hasn't produced a time fast enough to win this race and it looks a better horse over a shorter trip so a lay in my eyes but not value at 25/1.
LEO MINOR I'm not really sure what to expect from this individual, it looks versatile with its running style so could feasibly be thereabouts at the finish and is a big price at 20/1.
KASBAH has run before in better class races and this step down may invigorate it, usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly and my top rated at 5/1.
STELLARTA hasn't been in the best of form lately and im not sure it can be competitive in this class of race so another I would lay but again no value at 20/1.
PEARL SPECTRE has been known to lead but whether it can here is a different question but I doubt it as it may need further and a drop in class so one to lay at 6/1.
TURANGA LEELA has only produced a slow time over this course and distance and it looks as though a drop in class would suit it so I have to look to lay this one but not at 33/1.
SUMMARY: I've marked 5 down as possible lays, 2 others i dont think are quite good enough, a possible hidden danger in Leo Minor but if pushed I would leave it out of my bets to win this Zac Brown doesnt have to lead but can do so and I think its more than capable of leading in this field and if doing so it could prove hard to catch and I think its a big price because of the adverse draw. KASBAH 5/1 is my top rated, it likes to get a good position just off the pace from which to attack late on and its well weighted here to reverse the form with Zac Brown on the 18th February race this year when there was only a nose between them.

Kasbah 7/1 2nd

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