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Thursday, 7 December 2017

6:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (7th December)

Chelmsford Racing Tips
Not the best class 4 race but im hoping ive found a glimpse of a chance to find the winner, ive looked at the 3 courses with this surface which only added one more to my top 4 ratings at this course, Captain Lars is my 2nd top rated and could make the frame, BORN TO FINISH 10/3 is 4th top and has decent trainer/jockey stats so could make the frame but it comes out top rated on both Lingfield and Kempton times so could win, Jameerah is top rated and likes to track the leaders but will need a fair amount of luck from stall 14 and the trainer is 0-8 at this course, Nezar is my 3rd top rated and the trainer has a 15% win rate here with a jockey who has only won 4% of the time for this stable but CAPPANANTY CON 9/1 is from the same stable and this jockey has a good 16% win rate for the stable and this one is 2nd top rated using Kempton times and this 3year old could still be able to improve but it is also the only known front running sort in the field and if getting to the front it could be very hard to catch, I think the winner will come from the five horses mentioned and I hope ive gone with the right two to show a profit whichever one does the business and as usual if the prices permit me would go with an ew wager.

Cappananty Con 9/1 1st
Born To Finish 7/2 2nd
Exacta £40
GREAT TIPPING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This class 7 race is as poor as they can get, ive got negatives against most of the runners, Whaleweigh Station 3rd top rated and known to lead before but stall 11 to overcome, MERCURY 5/1 has very good trainer and jockey stats but stall 10 isnt ideal if it intends to lead as its done before but I can't discard it, so I will have a smallish bet but I was hoping it would be an ew price, LOUIS VEE 16/1 another possible pace setter and its got stall 1 so I expect it will try to lead all the way along the rail and they have employed a decent 7lb claiming apprentice to help their cause and it looks a positive booking as hes ridden for the stable once before resulting in a winner so I will go with a smallish ew bet to show a profit if either does the business.

Mercury 5/1 1st (Amazingly 15/1 on exchanges)
Louis Vee 16/1 8th

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