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Friday, 15 December 2017

7:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th December)

Racun g TIps
7:45 Chelmsford -

PEARL SPECTRE comes out 4th top and looks as though further would suit it better and a lay for me in this race. (lay8/1)

HUMAN NATURE hasn't any form at this distance on this surface and has been running over further lately so may get outpaced but if it comes down to stamina it could be in contention so maybe has to be a covering bet just in case at 11/2
SIR OTTOMAN hasn't any course form and its best from Kempton leaves it outside my top 4 but has a positive jockey booking and at 16/1 I would be having a small covering bet.
HIGHLAND ACCLAIM top rated on course and distance times and also on turf times, it has been known to lead before and has got stall 2 with a usually held up horse on it's inside and at the price, 25/1, it has to be worth each way wager
SIEGE OF BOSTON has any form on this surface at this distance and looks as though a longer trip is better for it so I would lay it at 9/1.
NAUTICAL HAVEN won at this distance in a slowish time on grass and this is its aw debut but has been way off form since being gelded and a lay at the price 10/1.
JOHNNY CAVAGIN hasn't any form on this surface and distance and it appears that this surface is unlikely to suit its running style, it would be a lay but at 20/1 its, not a value lay.
BORN TO FINISH my 2nd top on c/d times and comes out top using Kempton times so should be thereabouts at the finish but there's not much value at 5/2 but it has to be considered as a possible threat.
BAHAMIAN HEIGHTS 3rd top and its 7lb claimer could move it to 2nd spot and likes to contest the lead and could make the frame but not much value in each way bet at 9/2.
DEEDS NOT WORDS has had 1 run over c/d which was poor also a slow time at Kempton so maybe this surface doesn't suit it and has to be a lay at 10/1.
SUMMARY: Of the 10 runners I've got 5 I would maybe look to lay, 2 that I would have small bets on to cover my main bets, I would have to back both Born To Finish and Bahamian Heights just in case HIGHLAND ACCLAIM didn't reproduce its best but I'm hoping for stall 2 the selection can get the lead against the rails and then kick when coming off the bend for an all the way victory and at the price has to be done as an each way wager.

Highland Acclaim 20/1 7th

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