Saturday, 13 January 2018

1:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (13th January)

Lingfield Racing Tips
Of the 9 runners there's 3 that have been known to lead before so i expect a true run race, Leo Minor is a co-3rd top rated and a front runner and from stall 4 he could set the pace along with Human Nature from stall 1 but i think they will be setting the race up for a finishing type, top weight Reckless Endeavour always runs as though a longer trip would suit it better but my top rated, KASBAH 6/1 likes to track the early leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer has a decent 18% win rate at this course.

Kasbah 6/1 3rd
Division 1 of this race looks quite competitive, there's 2 known front runners and INDIAN AFFAIR 9/1 is one of them and if its apprentice jockey is worth their claim 7lb claim it could prove hard to catch as it moves it from 4th spot to top of the pile, Mo Henry is a possible danger that could improve, Hamish McGonagain is my 3rd top rated and a hold up type, Berlios is 2nd top rated despite this surface not seeming to be its favoured one, my original top rated is PUSHKIN MUSEUM 5/1 and its got the stall 1 draw and the jockey is 2-8 for this stable, i will go with backing them both to show a profit.

Indian Affair 20/1 3rd
Pushkin Museum 5/1 5th
This 2nd division is just as competitive, AWESOME ALLAN 12/1 is 2nd top using recent c/d times and its one of only 2 known front runners in the field and is only 1lb behind DEEDS NOT WORDS 11/1 and this ones trainer has a decent 19% win rate at this course so cant be discounted, The Amber Fort usually stays on strongly and is 3rd best on recent c/d times so might not quite catch the leaders, MR POCKET 11/2 hasn't run over this course and distance in over a year but a time it recorded in 2016 would see it win this race quite cosily and the trainers 17% win ratio here makes it look as though they are hoping for a big run, i will go with backing all 3 but most likely tipping in the favour of the latter mentioned horse at the price and covering the other 2 each way to show a profit whichever one/ones do the business.

Mr Pocket 11/2 3rd
Deeds Not Words 20/1 7th
Awesome Allan 33/1 Unp