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Wednesday, 3 January 2018

1:40 Southwell Racing Tips (3rd January)

Free Horse Racing Tips SOUTHWELL 1.40
AWESOME ALLAN has decent trainer + jockey stats but hasn't any course form but is a possible front-runner and could be dangerous if taking to the surface.
KOMMANDER KIRKUP is my 2nd top rated, the trainer does well here but isn't well drawn in stall 7 for a horse that likes to track the pacesetters, could make the frame with some luck.
VROOM is my 3rd top rated and a possible pacesetter with ok trainer/jockey stats and if getting to the front from stall 4 it could make the frame.
BERLIOS has got stall 3 and that's the best draw of the known front-runners but it would look to set a slower early pace if allowed to dictate which I doubt will happen so a lay I think.
RUN WITH PRIDE hasn't any form over this c/d and looking at other form lines it looks as though a longer trip would suit so another I could lay.
TELLOVOI has just about the same chance as the horse above it and it may find things happening too quickly for it but could stay on but probably too late and another lay.
VIVA VERGLAS is my top rated and it has decent trainer stats and an ok jockey stat, it's a hold-up type so stall 8 might not be enough to put me off.
ANGEL PALANAS the trainer does well here but the jockey is 0-8 while the horse is a 16 run maiden and it best form has been over a shorter distance so I would look to lay.
SUMMARY: The early pace looks to come from stalls 4 and 5, as I doubt Berlios from stall 3 can go fast enough to lead here, one is my 3rd top rated and the other is a possible danger if taking to the surface but I will stick with the proven as usual, Kommander Kirkup is my 2nd top rated and likes to track the pace so will need some luck from stall 7 while my top rated is VIVA VERGLAS 6/1 a hold up sort, it has the widest draw in stall 8 but with a relatively small field it can hopefully get a position from which to attack and then stay on the stronger.

Viva Verglas 14/1 4th

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