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Wednesday, 7 February 2018

3:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (7th February)

Chelmsford Racecourse
Not too bad a race for class 7 with 5 of them having recorded times, there's a couple of front runners in that 5 so it ought to be a true test and many just wont be good enough to catch the leaders, Roy's Legacy 5th top hasn't got a great draw out in stall 12 but may not have too much to compete with to make the running, La Fortuna is 4th top, Justice Rock and Firesnake joint 2nd top rated but MIGHTY ZIP 8/1 comes out on top and has got stall 2 so I'm hoping it can get out smartly and gain control on the rails then kick off the bend and lead all the way to the winning line but my stakes will definitely be on the low side at this class of race and 8/1 is just about value to go each way.

Mighty Zip 8/1 9th
Only 6 runners here and i can only go with the selection which is the top weight CAPTAIN LARS 7/2 who could get the lead here and then prove hard to catch, Bernie's Boy can lead but maybe needs further so may get outpaced and the same applies to Tavener about getting outpaced and needing further, Dutiful Son needs to improve time wise and i think the horse that could run on for 2nd spot is Excellent George.

Captain Lars 7/2 3rd
King Crimson ran very badly all of 2017 and the jockey booking on stats looks good but he did ride it twice last year with no joy so one i would look to lay at 9/2.
RED STRIPES comes out 2nd best when taking off the apprentices 7lb claim and could have a chance of making the frame, ew bet 13/2.
Run With Pride has only produced relatively slow times in the context of this race and the trainer/jockey stats are not great so one i would lay at 8/1.
BROADHAVEN HONEY originally joint 2nd top rated here, the trainers stats are a bit poor for winning here but could make the frame, 14/1 so ew bet.
Roundabout Magic the trainer has a 19% win rate here,the jockey 24% for this stable but it has run poorly here twice and I'm not sure this surface suits it, i would look to lay 6/1.
Eternalist the jockey booking looks good, 25% win rate for the stable, but on times it needs to improve a few spots unless everything else falters but i would look to lay it 8/1.
Bop It has reasonable trainer/jockey stats but it may prefer further and or a different surface so doubt it will be able to pick up the leaders so one to lay 14/1.
KRYSTALLITE is my top rated here, it can lead or track the leaders and stay on the stronger and follow up its win last time out 4/1.
Kyllukey hasn't got any stats to make me think this ones a potential winner and time wise it needs to improve and may prefer further so one i would lay at 15/2.
Point North looks as though further would suit it better, its got good trainer stats and even better jockey stats but I'm still not sure it can win but could possibly make the frame.
DREAMS OF GLORY starts off joint 2nd top but its claiming apprentice moves in into clear 2nd spot but the trainers win rate of 1-36 puts me off but it could still make the frame at 40/1.
SUMMARY: With 4 that have been known to lead the race should be run at a proper pace, I'm not sure if King Crimson is capable of leading nowadays, Eternalist has the best draw in stall 3 but may struggle in the closing stages, Broadhaven Honey is drawn widest of all which is not good for a possible pace setter but could tuck in just behind the front 2 and make the frame and looks a bit of value but my selection from stall 9 could either contest or even lead in the makeup of this race and if getting to the front it ought to have a good chance to follow up its win from last time out .

Red Stripes 11/1 2nd
Krystallite 16/1 7th
Dreams Of Glory 25/1 9th
NR: Broadhaven Honey

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