Eric's Weekly Round Up: Projection 2/1, Merry Banter 16/1 + EX £111.40, Fantasy Justifier 7/1 & Equimou 8/1



Saturday, 17 February 2018

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (17th February)

Do you know this racecourse?
LINGFIELD 2.20
This class 4 race with 9 runners can be split into 3 lays and 6 that could win the race, 6 of them have also led before but 2 of them are also on my lay list, so Just That Lord, Waseem Faris, Brother Tiger and Zipedeedodah could all try to lead all the way with Arzaak and Dynamo Walt trying to run on and catch them, i cannot split the 6 and it may be a race best left alone or if its possible to dutch all of them and still make a reasonable profit then that will be the way i will go in this tricky race.
LINGFIELD 3.30
Theres 8 runners here and 3 of them have been known to lead and 3 that have negatives against their name and look possible lays depending on value but none of them are front runners Relektor is 3rd top rated just 1 spot below Make Music so these 2 front runners should make sure there's a fast early pace but my top rated is KASBAH 8/1 who has been on my radar a couple of times when it made the frame but didn't win but this looks an easier opportunity and it will have a nice pace to aim at here and the race looks likely be run to suit its style.

Kasbah 8/1 4th
KEMPTON 6.45
I hope Major Valentine and Bahamian Heights will battle for the lead here to ensure a fast early pace and the former may do best of the pair being 5th best on my figures and could make the frame if allowed to dictate its own early and then try to pinch the race by kicking off the bend, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses with Big Lachie, but this one is being ridden by a jockey with a 0-15 record for the stable and may prefer a longer trip, and the top weight Born To Finish who is a hold up type and could easily make the frame if getting a clear passage, my top rated is PULSATING 5/2 who can be held up or track the leaders, its stall 12 draw isn't ideal but the cutaway at this course does help horses coming from off the pace, or track the leaders, the trainer has a 32% win rate at this course and the jockey has a 21% win rate for the stable which hopefully is 2 big pointers to the connections expecting a big run in this race.

Pulsating 6/1 6th