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Saturday, 24 March 2018

3:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (24th March)

Horse Racing Tips
A tricky looking class 2 handicap where most of the horses have positives in their trainer/jockey stats, I cant see Tomily or George Dryden winning this race but couldn't discard the other 4 from winning this race, the early pace will most likely be set by Captain Lars or more likely from stall 2 by A Momentofmadness 3/1 who hasn't any c/d form but could be dangerous with a lead if it takes to the surface, Ascot Day will be trying to stay on at the finish but despite carrying a massive weight ENCORE D’OR 5/2 still comes out on my figures and the 7lb claiming apprentice who has won twice before for this stable will help its cause, I will be backing the selection and having a small covering bet on A Momentofmadness as the jockey booking looks as though the connections think the horse will take to this surface.

Encore D'Or 7/2 2nd
Class 4 race where I can put forward Fethiye Boy, Merry Banter and Kamra as potential lays the rest have a some degree of a chance to win, Sandras Secret has poor trainers stats, 1-53 and Desert Ace has poor jockey stats, 0-23, which still leaves 5 in the mix, Liquid, Oriental Relation and Invincible Ridge have both good trainer and jockey stats, while the remaining pair, Liberatum and Awesome Allan have good jockey stats only, maybe the solution is to leave the race alone unless the betting gives some outstanding value.
Not too bad for a class 6 race, I've got 6 of the 10 runners marked down as potential lays, Highly Focused doesn't like too fast of an early pace and this race might not be run to suit it, my 3rd top rated is CLERGYMAN 9/4 but the price isn't value, who is the most natural front runner so if getting its own way up front it could prove hard to catch, Frank The Barber is 2nd top and can make the frame if the pace isn't too fast but this race may also go against it, top weight PUSHKIN MUSEUM 8/1 is top rated and could stay on the stronger at the finish, I will have to go with backing them both to cover both angles.

Clergyman 9/4 2nd
Pushkin Museum 8/1 5th
This division is a fair bit weaker looking the only known front runner is Dazeekha but this one likes to set a slowish early pace and then try to kick from the front but will prove very dangerous if its allowed to dictate, I will be going with 2 small bets in the race Ambitious Boy 25/1 is my top rated but this one usually stays on at the finish and may need a strong pace to aim at so that might not happen here but luckily the price permits me to have an each way bet, Semana Santa 9/2 is my 2nd top rated and has good trainer/jockey stats which points to connections expecting a big run here and the race wont take much winning, I think the winner will come from the 3 horses mentioned but its not a race to be getting too involved in betting wise.

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