Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Saturday, 10 March 2018

4:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (10th March)

Wolverhampton Racing Tips
This class 2 race ought to be a nice race but I can find reasons to discard 5 of the 9 runners, Nautical Haven has a good time from Chelmsford which would see it go very close here but only produced a slow time on its only run at this course and it looks to be the stables 3rd string and maybe in the race to ensure there's a fast early pace which would help its stablemates NAADIRR 11/2 chance of winning and just in case that one doesn't lead the stables 3rd runner Human Nature has also been known to lead, the 2 likely challengers looks to be Lancelot Du Lac and Suzis Connoisseur, the selection didn't run over this c/d for in 2017 and if it can reproduce its time from 2016 it would be enough to win here and it has won after a break before and i hope it can do so again in this race.

Naadir 17/2 6th
A claiming race that could be a good 7 runner affair, I can find reasons not to back, Archie Stevens, Newstead Abbey and Strictly Carter, I don't know what to make of Monumental Man as it could set the pace, I have SILVANUS 4/1 as my top rated and will be my main bet but it has a poor jockey stat which tempers my confidence, CAPTAIN LARS 6/5 is 2nd top and has very good trainer/jockey stats but those odds don't represent value and 3rd top is POINT NORTH 20/1 who also has good stats to back up its claims so i will back these 2 as smaller cover bets.

Captain Lars 11/8 1st
Silvanus 8/1 4th
Point North 20/1 5th
Quite competitive race for class 5 and I think Bernies Boy may set the pace but maybe not do enough to repel the challengers, Tavener has only slow times at this c/d but could be dangerous if getting to the front but maybe this course doesn't suit it best, I have only narrowed it down to 3 probables in this race, Big Lachie 7/2 hasn't any course form to work with but its Kempton time would definitely give it a chance, I've got Desert Fox 11/4 and Lanjano 13/2 as my joint top rated on c/d times recorded this year and both have got good trainer/jockey stats, I will split my bet between this pair and then a covering bet on the other horse in bold.