Eric's Weekly Round Up: Central City 6/5 - Signore Piccolo 5/2 - Pearl Acclaim 20/1 + FC £224.76

Tuesday, 3 April 2018

1:50 Southwell Racing Tips (4th April)

Horse racing tips
SOUTHWELL 1.50
Not a great amount of known early pace in the race so Archie Stevens could have its own way here and being my 3rd top rated must have some chance, Novebridge is my 2nd top rated even though I'm not sure this is its favourite surface but again could be there at the finish but top rated is DAPPER MAN 11/4 who has got a decent jockey booking and the trainer has a 17% win rate at this course so I'm hopeful this one can get back to winning ways here but i might have a covering bet on the mentioned front runner just in case it can pinch the race from the front.

Dapper Man 3/1 5th
SOUTHWELL 2.55
Only 6 runners and I've got negatives against 4 of them which leaves me with the top 2 in the handicap, Monks Stand is 2nd top rated from a time recorded this year but I've got ANGEL PALANAS 4/1 rated 2lb’s better then add on the 7lb’s the apprentice claims and then add on the fact its the only known front runner it must have more than a decent chance here to lead all the way plus the trainer has a 23% win rate at this track and the apprentice is 2-11 for the stables older horses.

Angel Palanas 4/1 5th
LINGFIELD 3.45
A mix of figures from differing tracks and surfaces, Swendab usually finds this distance too far but the jockey has got a 3-5 win rate for the stable, Newsteads Abbey 3/1 has a good time from Wolverhampton but the trainer is 0-11 here, Mishaal 10/1 has a very good time over c/d but that was in 2015 but hasn't run here much since then its also got a good time from Kempton but this one is from the same trainer, so I expect at least one of them will be expected to go well if not both, Strategic Heights 11/4 is top rated on c/d times and it was recorded this year, if i knew which 1 of Herrington horses was trying I could narrow it down to 2 horses but I will go with backing all 3 to show a profit.
SOUTHWELL 4.25
Of the 7 runners 3 of them are 3 year olds who could still have improvement to come which makes me keep my stakes to a lower level if at all especially when I can't find any reason not to think any of them cant improve, Falcao hasn't any surface form and could be a hidden danger, Dream Ally might not like this surface and looks the only negative in the race, Sir Geoffrey and Bonjour Steve are joint top rated but both are hold up types in a race where there's no known early pace setters so the race might not be run to suit them so maybe this race for betting purposes is best left alone.