Eric's Weekly Round Up: Mazzini 7/1



Tuesday, 3 April 2018

4:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd April)

Lingfield racing tips
LINGFILED 4.25
SANDRA'S SECRET may find this distance too far if there's a fast early pace but given the chance it could try to lead but set a slightly slower pace to save some stamina for the finish but it isn't the only front runner so maybe this race wont be run to suit it and 9/4 looks way too short.
BERNIE'S BOY did win over this course and distance but in a relatively slow time on its only run at this track but it has done a decent time at Kempton which would put it in the reckoning and it looks a natural front running type so 9/1 looks a decent price.
BUCCANEERS VAULT this ones best time would see it struggling but that was its only run over course and distance and the trainers 0-10 record doesn't help change my mind about it struggling here and 5/2 again looks poor value.
TUNDRA both the trainer and jockey have 15% winning ratios but the horse hasn't run at this course before but its best time from Kempton would make it competitive, it would like a fast early pace as it looks as though further would suit it better its 18/1 price shows its not fancied to win this time.
DUTIFUL SON is my top rated using a time it recorded this year, the trainers 0-10 record here does put me off a little so my stakes maybe tempered a little, it likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so this race could be run to suit it.
TAVENER is third best on course and distance time but its best time from Newcastle would make it second best but that's a different surface so maybe a place is best it can expect but 9/2 isn't an each way price when there's only 2 places up for grabs.
SUMMARY: The early pace looks to be left to Sandra's Secret and Bernie's Boy from stalls 2 and 3 and I personally hope they set a fast early pace to make it a true run race which will set the race up fora strong finisher, Tundra may get outpaced in a fast run race but will be staying on as it may be better over further, DUTIFUL SON 6/1 can sit on the rails just behind the leaders and be the first to attack the leaders and hopefully do enough to secure the win.