Saturday, 28 April 2018

5:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (28th April)

Eric Winner - Winning Racing Tips
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.25
KAMRA (88C/D) has got good trainer stat but not in apprentice races usually tracks the pace so could have place claims but looks poor value at 3/1.
INDIAN AFFAIR (87C/D) poor trainer stat and 0-26 in apprentice races, a front running sort and stall 9 isn't too bad in the makeup of this race could make the frame but 11/2 isn't really an each way price.
INLAWED (86C/D) the only other natural front running sort out in stall 11, trainer has good stat and he is 2-10 in apprentice races 8/1.
SEPRANI (76Kemp--59C/D) is 0-4 in these races and may need this run for fitness as it has needed it in the past and a relatively low speed figure so i would lay the win part of this one at 7/1 or lower.
DANECASE (72Ling-59C/D) hasnt run on this surface before and it would need to improve on its time from Lingfield to feature here an outsider at 16/1.
MADRINHO (73C/D) always looks as though further suits it better will stay on at finish but i doubt quickly enough so i would lay the win part at 6/1.
JUAN HORSEPOWER (84Ling-59C/D) has a reasonable time from Lingfield over this trip but is a better horse over shorter distances so 5/1 isn't any value.
LEXIS HERO (59) may need this run for fitness and its only 2 runs from last year don't inspire confidence in this old timer and not drawn well and an outsider at 16/1.
TIGERWOLF (70++) was unlucky on its only run over course and distance but this looks a tougher assignment could make the frame and an each way price at 8/1.
WHITECREST (78C/D) likes a fast pace to aim at and on its best time its well weighted but the trainers 0-8 in apprentice races puts me off a little but the 20/1 price looks more than fair enough for an each way bet.
SUMMARY:
The speed figures against each horse is my own unique base figure for the horse over this course and distance, i then add or subtract from the figure according to trainer/jockey stats, the draw, the makeup of the race and recent form. The 3 known front runners are all drawn high which doesn't help but they might have enough early pace here to get across and if Indian Affair tracks over the selection INLAWED 8/1 ought to be able to follow it and then either contest or actually lead then it could prove hard to catch but it is an apprentices race so one has to tread carefully in these races but i will be betting.

Inlawed 8/1 9th

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