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Wednesday, 23 May 2018

2:30 Ayr Jessie Allan 18/1 (23rd May)

Eric Winner Racing Tips
AYR 2.30 Div 1

I've gone through this race and they're quite a few horses that could still improve, including three 3 year olds, I'm not sure of the preferred racing tactics from some of theses but only Lilly's Prince is known as a pace setting type but not on fast ground, I've found 3 with recorded speed figures, Mo Henry would be 2nd top using a 2016 time, Be Bold is 2nd top but doesn't want fast ground, my top rated is JESSIE ALLAN 18/1 who I tipped up recently when i thought they had found a good chance for the horse to lose its maiden tag but being a maiden after 39 runs alarm bells must start to ring so it might be a race to watch and keep your money in your pocket but the price permits an each way bet and I'm hoping it can at least make the frame and the race wont take much winning.
PS: I do find on turf the class 5 and 6 races are very much hit and miss and consistency is a swear word while this doesn't seem to apply in all-weather races of the same class so I'm always wary.

Jessie Allan 18/1 5th
AYR 3.05 Div 2
This division is no better in fact they're only 2 with recorded times here: Star Cracker who’s time comes from 2016 and this one doesn't seem to want firm going, Gaelic Wizard 9/1 is the top rated but its a bit alarming when the selection is an inconsistent 10 year old who is capable of leading but always looks as though 6 furlongs is too far for it, so I think its another race to leave well alone but i could be tempted to have a small each way bet if it drifts out to 12/1 or better as it would then become a value bet.
AYR 4.05
Powerallied is dropped in class here but may prefer further and doesn't want the going to be too fast, Tanasoq could be the pacesetter but usually struggles at this level but this sure doesn't look a typical class 3 race to me, Elysian Flyer hasn't shown much time-wise recently and races as though further suits it better, Plough Boy has been racing in Ireland and may need further than the minimum trip, Oriental Lilly is top rated on my speed figures but this class might find it out, again if this is a real class 3 race. They're so many ifs and buts in the race it looks best left alone, if pushed i would have to side with Tanasoq hoping it could lead and steal the race from the front but it doesn't look worth the risk at the price.

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