Wednesday, 16 May 2018

2:55 York Racing Tip (16th May)

Horse Racing Tips
YORK 2.55
A cracking 19 runner race and just the size of the field means my stakes wont be at full tilt, there's 3 natural front running sorts but they are not in my top 5 ratings although Foolaad is 6th top and stall 8 isn't too bad, Danzeno and George Bowen are joint 3rd top, EL HOMBRE 25/1 is versatile with its racing tactics and 2nd top rated and only 2lb below CLASSIC SENIORITY 20/1 in top spot but this one may not want it to be good to firm going, ORION'S BOW 5/1 is 4th best using last years times but had a time in 2016 which would see it with a few spots in hand and the betting suggests its fancied to be at its best, I will have to go with backing all 3 to small stakes and i do mean small especially as none of them have good trainer/jockey stats.

El Hombre 25/1 Unp
Classic Senority 20/1 Unp
Orion's Bow 7/1 Unp
YORK 3.30
There's not much i can say about this race, HARRY ANGEL 4/5 is having its 1st run of the year and in my opinion it wont have to be fully fit to win this race and if fully fit should win quite easily but I doubt the price will be worthwhile as a single bet but it could bolster a multi-bet of some sort. I actually thought it might be shorter than the opening 4/5 and I have taken the price already with best odds guaranteed.

Harry Angel 4/5 1st
BATH 5.20
This is a dire race, 15 runners and I've got negatives against 11 of them, Toolatetodelgate is 4th top but at least its best time was recorded this year at Yarmouth, 3rd top is Mighty Zip who looks as though further would suit it better so should be staying on at the finish and could easily make the frame, Mostashreqah is 2nd top and this one also looks as though a longer trip will suit, there's 3 possible front runners in the race but with question marks against 2 of them QUANTUM DOT 13/2 from stall 11 could lead all the way against this motley crew.

Quantum Dot 7/1 7th
BATH 5.55
Only 7 runners and I've split the race with top 3 all having a chance to win and I would lay the bottom 4 in the race, which one of the top 3 will win is hard to predict but I think i can cut it down to 2 candidates, CORONATION COTTAGE 4/1 is the only known front runner in the race and its 2nd top on my figures but it could even be top rated because MET BY MOONLIGHT 5/2 hasn't run over this c/d distance before and it roughly 5 and a half furlongs, on 5f times this one is well down time-wise but using its 6f time its top rated and at this irregular distance it can be won by a strong 5f horse or a weak 6f horse and then it can depend on how slow or fast the race is run, I will have to back both but I think I will lean in favour of the most likely pace setter in the race.

Met By Moonlight 5/2 3rd
Coronation Cottage 4/1 4th

No comments: