Tuesday, 29 May 2018

4:00 Redcar - Carlton Frankie Sweet at 4/1 (29th May)

Redcar Racecourse 2018
REDCAR 4.00
CARLTON FRANKIE 113 .. MERRY BANTER 103 .. MIDNIGHT MALIBU 98
I wouldn't be surprised to see the top weight, CARLTON FRANKIE 4/1 taken out of this race after running Saturday but if it does run and the last race hasn't took too much out of him it has every chance here, the danger would be Merry Banter 5/2 who is the other front running type in this race and i think one of these 2 will lead all the way to win here.

Carlton Frankie 4/1 1st
LINGFIELD 4.10
ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 85.. ARZAAK 82.. JASHMA 71.. JACK THE TRUTH
87(Chelmsford)
I'm not sure what to expect from jack The Truth, it could be the fly in the ointment on a time from Chelmsford but has only a slow time at this course, Jashma will be held up for a late run maybe make the frame with a clear run, Arzaak may get squeezed in stall 2 with fast starters in stalls 1 and 4 so I'm guessing will be held up for a run, ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 9/2 is in stall 5 and can follow the pace from stall 4 and get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger at the finish, the jockeys 25% win ratio for this stable makes it look like they are expecting a big run from their horse in this race.

Roundabout Magic 9/2 3rd
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10
KRYSTALLITE 82 .. ATLANTA BELLE 77(Kempton) .. SAVANNAH BEAU 67(Newcastle)
With few queries whether certain horses will like this course or surface, I've marked 5 of the 11 runners as possible lays, the only what i would call a front running type is KRYSTALLITE 6/1 so stall 6 should be okay and if getting to the front it could prove very hard to catch.

Krystallite 6/1 2nd
BRIGHTON 8.50
SWISS CROSS 72 .. TITUS SECRET 71 .. BOUNTY PURSUIT 64
I've got 3 horses that race as though further would suit them better and 1 that struggles to stay this trip if its a fast early pace so maybe this race wont be run to suit any of them, my 2nd top rated TITUS SECRET 3/1 has good trainer stats, 21% win rate, and good jockey stats, 1-3, so it looks like their expecting a big run here but my top rated SWISS CROSS 9/2 is the only known front runner in the race and if allowed to set its own pace it could lead all the way the only negative i can find is the apprentice jockeys 0-11 for this stable but generally she looks a good apprentice so I'm not sure why she hasn't won for this stable before but i will back both to show a profit whichever one wins.

Titus Secret 3/1 1st
Swiss Cross 8/1 5th

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