Friday, 8 June 2018

2:00 Carlisle Racing Tips - Only Spoofing (Again) 5/6f (8th June)

Do you know this trainer's name?
I'm not sure if my selection will run, its in the form of its life and won Wednesday quite easily for the hattrick, if ONLY SPOOFING 5-6 does turn out here i cannot back against it but the price is very skinny again, if it doesn't run i would have to turn to Oriental Splendour 25/1 as an each way bet but then my stakes will be kept low.

Only Spoofing 5/6 3rd
There's a few unknowns who could be potential dangers, there's 3 known front runners in stalls 6,8,9, my 2nd top rated is Very Honest is 2nd top and in stall 6, this one has conflicting stats, the jockey has a 24% win rate on this stables older horses but the trainer is 0-18 at this course so not sure what to expect but it could go well, top spot is BUXTED DREAM 14/1 from stall 8, this one has a few spots in hand if its best time from Windsor is to be believed and the trainer has a 38% win rate at this course so at the price i will have an each way wager.

Buxted Dream 14/1 5th
I've only got Incentive as a front runner but its best time was back in 2016 even that would only make it 3rd top, Met By Moonlight is 2nd top and likes to track the leaders but I've got FATHER McKENZIE 20/1 as my top rated and this one likes to sit just behind the pace setters, the trainer is 0-6 for at this course which isn't really enough data to put me off especially when the jockey has a 17% win rate for this stable so its another i will be backing each way.
This race is a typical dire class 5 race on grass, despite having negatives against 8 of the 12 runners I'm still not convinced about whats going to win the race, Danecase is top rated but has poor, 0-10, trainer stats and 0-2 for the jockey which is off putting, Dirchill is 3rd top and could make the frame, Lexis Hero recorded a time in 2016 that would make it top rated but this track isn't its best type and it may also need this run for fitness, the safest option seems to be MESHARDAL 6/1 as it has run quite well recently without winning but has a chance here to get back to winning ways.