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Thursday, 7 June 2018

4:00 Haydock - Pearl Acclaim Shine Brightly at 18/1 (7th June)

Eric Winner Racing Tips
PENWORTHAM not shown much form lately and may prefer further and has middling trainer - jockey stats, maybe a lay bet. 8/1
LEO MINOR likes to track the leaders but may want further, just outside my top 4 ratings and poor trainer/jockey stats both being 1-23 so another i would like to lay. 11/2
CONFESSIONAL has only relatively slow times and doesn't want real fast going and has only middling stats, so a possible lay. 10/1
DAZCAM hasn't been placed on turf in 4 runs, may not want fast ground and the jockey is 0-6 for this stable so has to be a lay bet but no value.
HAROME is 4th top rated and could try to set the early pace, the trainer is 1-18 at this course so I'm not sure what to do with this runner but doubt it will win.
ACCLAIM THE NATION just outside my top 5 ratings and another possible pace setter, the jockey booking looks a positive with a 1-2 record so could make the frame but no value at 5/2
BASHIBA times put it just outside my top 4 but best time recorded over this course and distance, trainers 1-17 record doesn't look good though, could make the frame 11/2
UNION ROSE my top rated so has to be a selection but the jockey is 0-11 on the stables older horses is off putting but he has a 10% win record overall for the stable and a possible leader 16/1
PEARL ACCLAIM comes out 2nd top rated and wants fast ground to show its best, the jockey is 2-10 for the stable could go well so maybe an each way bet at 18/1
ARCHIMEDES weighted to be 3rd top rated usually tracks the leaders but the jockeys 0-21 is very off putting but could make the frame 20/1
SUMMARY: There's a few that could make the frame in this race but I'm thinking it could be won from the front, Harome is 4th top and in stall 6, ACCLAIM THE NATION 5/2 is in stall 5 and has the significant jockey booking and has to have a reasonable chance, *UNION ROSE 16/1 is top rated and a front runner in stall 8 so has to be an each way bet at the price, these 3 could tow each other along but just in case they go off too fast I have to put PEARL ACCLAIM 18/1 as a tentative each way selection as it could be the one to take the race if they fade nearing the finish, I will dutch the 3 selections here and hopefully lay any that are value to lay.

* NR
Acclaim The Nation 5/2 2nd
Pearl Acclaim 33/1 9th

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