Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Friday, 15 June 2018

Chepstow racecourse
I shall be having 2 smallish bets in this race to cover the angles and smallish because there's a 3 year old that could improve plus an Irish horse which I don't know enough about to back or lay the horse as its having its 1st run for a new trainer but I'm going to hope its not fully fit for its 1st race of the year, 3rd top is Sfumato who is the trainers 1st runner here in 5 years and the 7lb claiming apprentice is having their 1st ride for the stable, not sure what to expect but it could make the frame, INDIAN AFFAIR 7/1 is 2nd top and the only known front runner in the race so could be dangerous if allowed to dictate the pace but I have got SWANTON BLUE 9/1 as my top rated when it won 1st time out in 2017 at Salisbury so a lack of a recent run may not matter and the trainer has a 27% win ratio at this course.

Swanton Blue 9/1 1st
Indian Affair 8/1 6th
Of the 12 runners I've marked numbers,7,8,9,10,12 as lays, in total there's half the field that have led before so they may go off too quickly from the start and then fade as 5 of my top 6 are possible pace setters with DAVID'S BEAUTY 9/2 stall 12 my 3rd top and QUANTUM DOT 10/3 stall 3 in 2nd spot, so the race could possibly be set up for JAGANORY 7/1 who likes to sit just off the pace and then stay on strongly at the finish but i will go with backing them all to cover the angles, a front runner drawn high and one drawn low plus a strong staying type.

David's Beauty 9/2 1st
Jaganory 7/1 4th
Quantom Dot 6/1 7th