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Wednesday, 11 July 2018

6:40 Bath Racing Tips (11th July)

Bath racecourse
BATH 6.40 (9.2)
With 8 runners and 3 that have been known to lead and they are my top 3 ratings as well so as long as they don't cut each others throats battling for the lead then the rest shouldn't catch them, Molly Jones is 3rd best on a Chepstow time from this year, Archimedes is 2nd top but its time was done in 2017 over this c/d while my top rated BROADHAVEN HONEY 5/2 also did its best time this year at Chepstow in the same race but is weighted to reverse the form here.

Broadhaven Honey 11/4 2nd
BATH 8.10 (9.2)
Only 5 runners and nothing much between the top 3 on times, Fethiye Boy is 3rd top and only 2 lbs below the joint top rated pair but this one is the most likely leader and with an easy lead it could easily turn that deficit into a winning opportunity, joint top is Defining Moment but this one may struggle in this class of race so I'm going with SECRETFACT 9/2 who’s trainer has a 20% win ratio here and employs a top class jockey making his debut for this stable.

Secretfact 9/2 1st
KEMPTON 8.55
Of the 12 runners I have got varying degree of negatives against 8 of them and I would look to lay 5 of the 8, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Cappananty Con and Blazed but the latter can struggle at this distance if there a really fast early pace but its time was recorded this year while the former's time was run in 2017, my top rated is the top weight LITTLE PALAVER 9/1 who is also the only what I call a natural front runner in the race and if getting to the front here it could prove hard to catch.

Little Palaver 9/1 7th

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