Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1



Friday, 14 September 2018

3:45 Bath Racing Tips Racing Tips (15th September)

Horse racing tips
BATH 3.45 (9.2) 

This is a tricky 10 runner race where I have positives against 7 of them leaving me with my top 3, Union Rose is 3rd best using times from 2018 but would be top rated on 2017 times but it would need to bounce back to form against in form opponents, Kasbah is 2nd top rated using this years times but seems to be in the grip of the handicapper as it keeps running quite well so hasn't been dropped much on official figures, my top spot is occupied by NIBRAS AGAIN 12/1 who recorded a fast time when winning at Haydock 2 runs ago, its last run on softish going can be ignored and back on g/f ground has a chance to win again and its a big enough price for me to back each way. 

Nibras Again 12/1 1st + EX £57.40

CHESTER 3.55 (8.2) 

Not my favourite track to have a bet at and stakes will be kept fairly low, we all know a low draw is favoured here and front-runners do well so horses that don't normally front run come here and change their tactics to suit the course which makes analysis many times harder than usual. Private matter is a front-runner and drawn 1 but may not want firm in the going description, GINBAR 3/1 is my joint 2nd top rated, a front-running type and in stall 2 so could go very well here off bottom weight, Confessional is the other joint 2nd top and can find this distance a bit too far but maybe not on this turning course where they never really get into top gear until in the short home straight, KING ROBERT 10/1 is top rated drawn in stall 4 so could get a good position just behind the leaders but its another that doesn't like really fast ground, I will back the 2 highlighted horses to cover both angles in the race. 

King Robert 10/1 4th 
Ginbar 3/1 5th

LINGFIELD 4.15 

A complicated little race for just 8 runners and again my stakes will be on the low side, apart from the topweight nothing else has been known to lead but I'm not sure it can pinch this race even with a crafty ride but it is a 3-year-old so it cannot be discarded easily, Kath's Lustre is 4th top and another 3 year old, Seprani is 3rd top rated so could make the frame, Rose Berry is 2nd best and a hold up type but does struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace so it could go well in the make-up of this race but top spot is DIAMOND LADY 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and could get a good early position from stall 2 and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Diamond Lady 8/1 6th

MUSSELBURGH 6.55 (7.6) 

This must be a poor race when I worked out what comes out top rated, inconsistency is a major problem at this level on grass, so again stakes are on the low side, 8 of the runners have had 10 or more runs without winning which is always a bit off-putting, there's not much early pace in the race, joint 3rd top are Griffin Street and Thornaby Princess and both like to track the leaders, Miss Dd prefers the same tactics but all 3 of them have not won for quite a while now which leaves the top-rated TWENTYSVNTHLANCERS 7/1 who may not want the going to be too fast and is in form as it won last time out.

Twentysvnthlancers 7/1 8th