ERIC'S RECENT WINNERS: THE RIGHT CHOICE 5/1, POPPY MAY 12/1, COMMANDER KIRKUP 5/1 + EX £15.50 + TRI £55.90, CAPTAIN LARS 6/1, WALK ON WALTER 9/2, OUTRAGE 8/1, ARZAAK 14/1, DEEDS NOT WORDS 3/1 + EX £20.30 + TRIFECTA £53.70, PIAZON 8/1, THE LACEMAKER 100/30 + WALK ON WALTER 16/1 + £43.75 F/C



Monday, 24 September 2018

4:40 Kempton Racing Tips (24th September)

Horse racing tips
KEMPTON 4.40 

REPUTATION--has no previous AW form to work with but has recorded the joint fastest time on g/f ground on grass so this surface could suit it and being a front-runner it could attempt to lead all the way has trainer-jockey stats of 17%+2/8 

WATCHABLE--usually find this distance a little too far if there's a fast early pace so this race may not be run to suit its style. 

POLYBIUS--hasn't been in the best of form recently and its best time at Chelmsford is trumped by Watchable so may not be able to win even if coming back to its best 

ZAIN HANA--is the other joint top rated using turf times, this is its 1st run on an AW surface and could have a decent chance if taking to the surface, has 29%+32% trainer/jockey stats. 

THE DALEY EXPRESS --hasn't run on this surface before and looking through its form I'm not sure it will like this surface and hasn't shown much on g/f going either. 

HELVETIAN--this is my top rated on c/d times, its got 12% +14% trainer/jockey stats but has got the worst of the draw in stall 9 but should be staying on at the finish with a clear run. 

AIRSHOW --this 3-year-old is a potential pacesetter but would need to improve a few spots to win the race but never say never with this one. 

PEARL SPECTRE--housed in stall 1 this front-runner could gain control of the rails but it would prefer to set a slower pace to reserve energy for the finish and that might not happen here 

NATURAL--has only set slowish times at this distance and further may suit it better in time and may get outpaced early but stay on but maybe too late. 

SUMMARY: I'm thinking that REPUTATION 9/2 could attempt to lead all the way here and could possibly do so on turf times, the 3-year-old. ZAIN HANA 9/2 has very good trainer/jockey stats and could get involved in getting a clear run, HELVETIAN 11/1 is another 3-year-old with ok trainer/jockey stats and is top rated over this c/d, I cannot make my mind up between these 3 so dutching them may be the best way to go.

Zain Hana 9/2 3rd
Helvetian 11/1 4th 
Reputation 8/1 5th