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Wednesday, 12 September 2018

5:45 Kempton Racing Tips (12th September)

Kempton racing tips in September

GLORY OF PARIS should be staying on strongly at the finish here and is top rated on c/d times but only because its the only one with a recorded time here, its time is good for the class of race and there's only one better time in the race, its best time from Chelmsford would put it in 2nd top spot so should be thereabouts at the finish. 

ACRUX it hasn't a time from this c/d so not completely sure what to expect but looking through the clues it looks as though a longer distance may be needed for it to show its best BIG BRAVE BOB hasn't any form on this surface but with a bit of digging I'm thinking this surface might not suit its running style and slower going would be better. 

TIGERWOLF another with no c/d form and at Wolverhampton its time over this distance was on the slow side of things and it's also another I'm not sure will take to this surface. 

ASSASSINATE has just one run over this c/d which was quite poor and it appears a much better horse back at 5 furlongs so may not find this race run to suit its needs with 2 in the race that have been known to lead.

AGUEROO this one hasn't any course form to work with but its best time from Chelmsford puts it at the top of my list of figures and it can be held up or track the leaders so can be effective whichever tactics are deployed by others. 

SPIN TOP has 1 slow run over this c/d and the reason may be because it doesn't really stay the sixth furlong and may struggle here if there's a decent early pace. 

ONEFOOTINPARADISE again hasn't any form over this c/d and in this case it looks as though further would suit it better and could find itself outpaced in the early stages here. VIBES hasn't made the frame in five attempts on an all-weather surface and that includes 2 attempts over this c/d and looking as though a longer trip would help. 

MAD ENDEAVOUR may prefer a slower surface and a shorter trip, then add on the trainers poor 1-33 win record at this track makes it feel as it may struggle here. 

OCEAN TEMPTRESS not in the frame in 6 all-weather runs and further may suit it better, either that or a slower surface but it could be one that likes to lead, stall 10 isn't ideal but may be ok with only 1 other front-runner in the field. 

SUMMARY: The 2 that have led before have negatives against their names, one due to the surface which leaves Vibes as the possible pacesetter, as it looks as though further would suit it better it may try to use its stamina from the front to win and has a good jockey booking to carry it out so is a danger and I can't discard it easily but I will stick with the proven and go with 2 selections, GLORY OF PARIS 5/1 is top on c/d times and 2nd top on all figures on this surface, AGUEROOO 7/2 is top using Chelmsford times and this is its 1st run at this course, if taking to the track it must have a good chance of winning but I'm not confident enough to narrow it down any further.

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