Thursday, 18 October 2018

4:40 Brighton Racing Tips (18th October)

Free Horse Racing Tips
BRIGHTON 4.40 (8.1) 

This isn't an easy race to analyse, I've got 5 that are known to front run and the 3 at the bottom of the weights, Belledesert 8/1, Archimedes 8/1 and Broadhaven Honey14/1, are all in my top 4 ratings but none of them are drawn well and the same applies to Oneovdem 12/1 who could be an improver having its 4th run here, Shamshon 8/1 could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast but this one got stall 12 (hope you can see why its hard to be very confident with this race) but I do think the winner should come from the 5 I've named above and I can only look to dutch them all to show a profit but having now seen the betting BROADHAVEN HONEY 14/1 looks the value call but only to small stakes. 

Broadhaven Honey 14/1 1st + EX £90 


Another race where the data is quite conflicting in parts but I have come to a 1 horse conclusion, Top Boy has a time from Kempton that would I've it place claims but that is a different surface, Compas Scoobie has its best time from 2017 which would make it my 2nd top rated but hasn't been anywhere need that level since but never say never and could make the frame, Lucky Lodge is well weighted on its best 2017 time but has been about 10lbs below that so far this year and its best has been in a lower class race than this so making the frame may be the best it can achieve but my top rated is THE LACEMAKER 12/1 who can track the leaders or be held up in its races and from stall 2 it should be able to get a good early position from which to attack and its trainer has a decent 16% win rate at this course and the apprentices 5lb claim could tip things further into its favour.

The Lacemaker 14/1 2nd (Bloody unlucky not to have EW double come up today) + EX £19.50