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Monday, 15 October 2018

5:45 Kempton Racing Tips (16th October)

Free racing tips

POPPY IN THE WIND hasn't any surface form and may not like it plus the fact it looks a better horse over a shorter trip so I would look to lay it. 

PRECIOUS PLUM hasn't any course form and finds it a bit too far producing slow times at the distance, a lay in my opinion 

SHOWMETHEWAYAVRILO did its best c/d time in 2017 has led before and even then it would struggle to win this race another lay in my eyes 

AVON GREEN has had 2 c/d races and timewise its been lacking mainly because it looks as though a shorter trip suits it better another I will lay 

MAJORETTE is 1 of 3 known front-runners in this race but isn't in my top 4 ratings which makes it a lay in my opinion. 

SECRET AGENT is just outside my top 4 and is a much better prospect over shorter distances so another to lay if of value. 

TROTTER 3rd on my figures using a 2017 time but hasn't any recent runs over this c/d so could make the frame if at its best 

JEOPARDY JOHN comes out 4th best here despite being much better over a shorter distance but it is only 3 years old so could possibly make the frame if the early pace isn't too fast. 

MERCERS needs to improve quite a few spots at this distance which is too far for it in a true run race so another to lay. 

ASSASSINATE is my joint top rated using a time recorded this year, it can be held up or track the leaders but stall 12 isn't ideal. 

TWO SEAS a 3 year old that needs to improve timewise to be competitive here but I'm not sure it could improve enough to win but never say never. 

KINGSLEY KLARION my other joint top rated and the 3rd possible pacesetter but its gone 25 runs without winning which is a little off-putting. 

SUMMARY: I wouldn't normally put up a horse on a 25 losing run but in the make-up of the race it could lead from stall 4 and then *KINGSLEY KLARION 3/1 could prove hard to catch but dare I go with just the 1 selection in the circumstances but I can find negatives against his biggest dangers so I will go with 1 small wager but the price hopefully might drift a little higher.

* NR

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