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Tuesday, 27 November 2018

1:10 Southwell Racing Tips (27th November)

SOUTHWELL 1.10 Div1 

The 1st division of this race is as bad as a race can get, I've not got a speed rating for any horse in the race on this surface, Little Choosey could be dangerous if allowed to set the pace as it looks as though further suits it better so could outstay them, Poppy May would be my selection because it has a decent time from Chelmsford but that's a different surface and its 2 runs here before have been poor so maybe a race to take a watching brief. 

SOUTHWELL 1.40 Div2 

At least in this race I've got a few snippets of data to analyse but it still looks a bleak race, the lowest weighted Blistering Dancer recorded a fast time when finishing 2nd but that time is looking a bit of a fluke as it got towed along that day and hasn't done much in other runs over this c/d and hasn't won from 26 previous attempts on the all-weather surfaces, Coiste Bodhar has my 2nd best time at this c/d and this one has run to a similar standard elsewhere as well so could at least make the frame here if bouncing back to form, the 3 year old Give Em A Clump could also go well if repeating a 2017 time but I've got FORTINBRASS 12/1 rated just 2lb off top spot using 2018 times and it did a time 9lb’s better in 2017 so its capable of winning this race and the extra 7lb’s the apprentice claims could swing things in its favour but my stakes won't be at full strength.

Fortinbass 14/1 5th

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