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Friday, 9 November 2018

8:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (9th November)

Horse racing tips
8:45 Newcastle -  

MY NAME IS RIO hasn't any form on this surface and distance and may prefer a slower surface or a shorter trip so not for me in this race (non-runner).

ROUND THE ISLAND has a time from Wolverhampton this year that would put it in my top 6 but its best on this c/d from 2016 would drop it down a few pounds.

NAUTICAL HAVEN is 0-8 on the AW tracks and only shown a slow time at Wolverhampton but has a fast time on g/f going on grass so could be a hidden danger plus it could lead.

KOMMANDER KIRKUP has a time from 2017 that would put it in my top 6 here but its been 11lb below that level so far this year but could make the frame.

BROKEN WINGS an 11 raced 3-year-old maiden who made need further to show its best and on its Wolverhampton best time it needs to improve to win.

VENTURA SPIRIT it ran on well here over 5 furlongs recording a high-speed figure and if staying this distance could go well but its turf form says it might prefer a slower surface.

AVENUE OF STARS would need to improve a few pounds to win this race using its best 2017 time and a slower surface may suit it better. 

DANEHILL DESERT has only a slow time from Wolverhampton but its best on turf on good to firm ground would give it some chance here to make the frame.

FIRST EXCEL is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and here it could be prominent from the off in the inside draw but needs to improve timewise to win here.

EPEIUS is my top-rated using a time recorded in 2017 and was a bit unlucky on its last run here after a break and must have a decent chance to win here. 

POPPY IN THE THE WIND can find this trip too far if there's a fast early pace which is more likely on this straight course and is running 8lb slower so far this year so not for me.

GLEAMING ARCH hasn't any all-weather form and is a 6 run maiden and I think it may be better when tried over further. 

LUCKY LODGE has maybe flattered by its recent form in a lower class when the times have been slow but a 2016 time here would give it a chance but not for me here.

INDIAN WARRIOR can run a decent time but its an 18 run maiden and couldn't win in a lower class but making the frame isn't impossible but doubtful it will win.

SUMMARY: I'm not actually going to put my selection in this summary part just so you have to read all of my ramblings to find it but its not a race to be getting too involved in moneywise because there are a few potentially hidden dangers, which I have given above. (EPEIUS is the selection). 

Epeius 8/1 2nd 

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